AI · outage

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31? (Resolved)

$149 Volume
31/03/2026 00:00
View on Polymarket
View on Official Site Trade with real money on Polymarket
Yes
$18.3K Volume
1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.

Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.

An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.

Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

When does the ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31? (Resolved) market resolve?
This market is settled. The final outcome was confirmed and paid out under Polymarket's published resolution rules.
How much money is trading on ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31? (Resolved)?
Traders have put $149 through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.

Similar Markets

↑$1.25T98%YesNo
↑$1.5T93%YesNo
Z.aiZ.ai93%YesNo
GoogleGoogle4%YesNo
AnthropicAnthropic99%YesNo
OpenAIOpenAI1%YesNo
AnthropicAnthropic90%YesNo
OpenAIOpenAI6%YesNo
AlibabaAlibaba95%YesNo
Z.aiZ.ai4%YesNo
October 3194%YesNo
September 3086%YesNo
October 3189%YesNo
September 3080%YesNo
December 31, 202670%YesNo
November 30, 202655%YesNo
Trade on Polymarket
Start Polymarket Training For Free
Trade prediction markets with virtual money. Real prices, zero risk. Compete on the leaderboard.
$1K
Virtual Cash
500+
Markets
$0
Real Risk
Learn more