This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
<5
$6.7K Volume
99%
5-9
$3.5K Volume
2%
10-14
$1.7K Volume
1%
15-19
$1.5K Volume
1%
20-24
$1K Volume
1%
25-29
$1K Volume
1%
30-34
$1.4K Volume
1%
35-39
$371 Volume
1%
40-44
$233 Volume
1%
45-49
$397 Volume
1%
50-54
$440 Volume
1%
55-59
$449 Volume
1%
60+
$470 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: x.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Khamenei # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?
<5 dominates the field at 98%; the nearest challenger, 5-9, trades at just 1%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Khamenei # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?
Traders price <5 at a 98% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Khamenei # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026 market resolve?
Mark 25 Aug 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Khamenei # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?
Total turnover stands at $4.9K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Khamenei # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
Similar Markets
320-33958%YesNo
340-35929%YesNo
220-23920%YesNo
240-25920%YesNo
65-8942%YesNo
40-6429%YesNo
200-21914%YesNo
220-23914%YesNo
200+73%YesNo
180-19926%YesNo
880-91924%YesNo
920-95921%YesNo
200+99%YesNo
180-19911%YesNo
100-11961%YesNo
80-9937%YesNo
