This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
<5
$1.2K Volume
81%
5-9
$205 Volume
16%
10-14
$94 Volume
7%
15-19
$112 Volume
1%
20-24
$112 Volume
1%
25-29
$102 Volume
1%
30-34
$112 Volume
1%
35-39
$49 Volume
2%
40-44
$68 Volume
1%
45-49
$68 Volume
1%
50-54
$58 Volume
1%
55-59
$58 Volume
1%
60+
$58 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: x.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Khamenei # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026?
The money is on <5 at 80%; 5-9 follows at 15%. Live order-book odds, refreshed with every fill.
What do traders predict for Khamenei # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026?
The market makes <5 the favorite at 80%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the Khamenei # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026 market resolve?
The market runs until 1 Sep 2026 (8 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Khamenei # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026?
$4.9K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Khamenei # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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