This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
<5
$2.5K Volume
92%
5-9
$1.2K Volume
11%
10-14
$557 Volume
2%
15-19
$453 Volume
1%
20-24
$694 Volume
1%
25-29
$471 Volume
1%
30-34
$440 Volume
1%
35-39
$413 Volume
1%
40-44
$415 Volume
1%
45-49
$415 Volume
1%
50-54
$415 Volume
1%
55-59
$420 Volume
1%
60+
$415 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: x.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Khamenei # posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?
At 91%, <5 has pulled far clear of 5-9 (9%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Khamenei # posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?
Traders price <5 at a 91% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Khamenei # posts August 21 - August 28, 2026 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 28 Aug 2026 (4 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Khamenei # posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?
Traders have put $4.6K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Khamenei # posts August 21 - August 28, 2026 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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