This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
9°C or below
$22 Volume
85%
10°C
50%
11°C
50%
12°C
50%
13°C
50%
14°C
50%
15°C
50%
16°C
50%
17°C
$22 Volume
35%
18°C
$22 Volume
35%
19°C or higher
$22 Volume
45%
Resolution Source: www.weather.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 27?
The field is wide open: 9°C or below tops it at just 43%, with 10°C close behind at 26%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 27?
No strong consensus yet: 9°C or below tops the implied probabilities at just 43%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 27 market resolve?
Mark 27 Aug 2026 (2 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 27?
Total turnover stands at $4.3K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 27 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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