This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
August 24
$6.2K Volume
2%
August 25
$6.9K Volume
1%
August 26
$5.1K Volume
1%
August 27
$9.7K Volume
3%
August 28
$4.7K Volume
1%
August 29
$6.8K Volume
1%
August 30
$3.7K Volume
1%
No release by August 31
$75.6K Volume
95%
August 31
$9.2K Volume
1%
Resolved 23
On or prior to August 1
$44 Volume
No
August 2
$479 Volume
No
August 3
$496 Volume
No
August 4
$4.6K Volume
No
August 5
$4.7K Volume
No
August 6
$21.7K Volume
No
August 7
$10.8K Volume
No
August 8
$2.8K Volume
No
August 9
$2.9K Volume
No
August 10
$66.7K Volume
No
August 11
$9.8K Volume
No
August 12
$10.7K Volume
No
August 13
$8.8K Volume
No
August 14
$4.1K Volume
No
August 15
$3K Volume
No
August 16
$2.6K Volume
No
August 17
$3.8K Volume
No
August 18
$4K Volume
No
August 19
$3.2K Volume
No
August 20
$3K Volume
No
August 21
$2.4K Volume
No
August 22
$2.8K Volume
No
August 23
$3.5K Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on?
At 95%, No release by August 31 has pulled far clear of August 27 (2%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on?
With 95% implied for No release by August 31, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 1 Sep 2026 (8 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on?
$13.6K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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