This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
On or prior to September 1
$938 Volume
7%
September 2
$175 Volume
4%
September 3
$98 Volume
3%
September 4
$98 Volume
3%
September 5
$98 Volume
4%
September 6
$170 Volume
5%
September 7
$98 Volume
4%
September 8
$157 Volume
2%
September 9
$165 Volume
1%
September 10
$165 Volume
1%
September 11
$98 Volume
3%
September 12
$98 Volume
3%
September 13
$165 Volume
1%
September 14
$170 Volume
5%
September 15
$98 Volume
3%
September 16
$98 Volume
3%
September 17
$98 Volume
3%
September 18
$101 Volume
3%
September 19
$98 Volume
3%
September 20
$98 Volume
3%
September 21
$165 Volume
1%
September 22
$98 Volume
3%
September 23
$98 Volume
4%
September 24
$98 Volume
3%
September 25
$98 Volume
3%
September 26
$163 Volume
1%
September 27
$98 Volume
3%
September 28
$258 Volume
8%
September 29
$168 Volume
3%
No release by September 30
$13.8K Volume
69%
September 30
$177 Volume
6%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on?
No release by September 30 leads the field at 69%, with September 30 next at 5%. A solid favorite - though every trade can reshuffle the board.
What do traders predict for Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on?
The market makes No release by September 30 the favorite at 69%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on market resolve?
Mark 1 Oct 2026 (38 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on?
$6.2K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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