Science · Weather

Precipitation in Seattle in August?

$294 Volume
01/09/2026 03:59
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<0.5"
$74 Volume
95%
0.5-1"
$25 Volume
19%
1-1.5"
$30 Volume
14%
1.5-2"
$25 Volume
15%
2-2.5"
$25 Volume
14%
2.5-3"
$25 Volume
14%
>3"
$30 Volume
1%

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between August 1 and August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for August 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of August 2026.

If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Precipitation in Seattle in August?
At 88%, <0.5" has pulled far clear of 0.5-1" (11%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Precipitation in Seattle in August?
With 88% implied for <0.5", the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Precipitation in Seattle in August market resolve?
The market runs until 1 Sep 2026 (7 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Precipitation in Seattle in August?
Total turnover stands at $294. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Precipitation in Seattle in August on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.

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