Science · Weather

Precipitation in London in August?

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$2.3K Volume

01/09/2026 03:59

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Sep 1 Sep 1 Sep 1 Sep 1 Sep 1

30-40mm

$131 Volume

56%

40-50mm

$110 Volume

28%

50-60mm

$116 Volume

27%

60-70mm

$6.1K Volume

36%

70-80mm

$133 Volume

23%

<30mm

$633 Volume

67%

80mm+

$301 Volume

25%

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in August, 2026, according to the Met Office.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for August 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of August 2026 is released.

If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Precipitation in London in August?

It's a genuine race: <30mm edges the field at 54%, barely ahead of 30-40mm at 45%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.

What do traders predict for Precipitation in London in August?

At 54% implied for <30mm, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.

When does the Precipitation in London in August market resolve?

Mark 1 Sep 2026 (8 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.

How much money is trading on Precipitation in London in August?

$2.3K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.

How can I trade Precipitation in London in August on Polymarket?

You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.