This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between August 1 and August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for August 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of August 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
<2"
$1.1K Volume
1%
2-3"
$454 Volume
1%
3-4"
$137 Volume
4%
4-5"
$147 Volume
5%
5-6"
$190 Volume
1%
>6"
$435 Volume
97%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Precipitation in NYC in August?
At 94%, >6" has pulled far clear of 4-5" (3%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Precipitation in NYC in August?
With 94% implied for >6", the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Precipitation in NYC in August market resolve?
The market runs until 1 Sep 2026 (8 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Precipitation in NYC in August?
$2.3K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Precipitation in NYC in August on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
Similar Markets
December 314%YesNo
September 301%YesNo
SpaceX65%YesNo
Anthropic36%YesNo
October 3196%YesNo
September 3093%YesNo
↑3k99%YesNo
↑3.5k95%YesNo
2800+99%YesNo
2825+93%YesNo
<425mm82%YesNo
425-450mm12%YesNo
80-9953%YesNo
100–11943%YesNo
