Ethereum Prediction Markets (ETH)

Ethereum prediction markets let you trade on network upgrades, ETH price targets, ETF approvals and on-chain metrics - staking ratios, gas fees and active addresses. Probabilities come from live Polymarket order-book depth.

Key difference from BTC markets: ETH markets move more on technical events (EIPs, hard forks, Shanghai/Dencun), while Bitcoin tracks ETFs and macro headlines.

63 active markets
What price will Ethereum hit in August?What price will Ethereum hit in August?
↓ 2,40069%YesNo
↑ 2,60059%YesNo
$472K Volume 01/09
What price will Ethereum hit August 24-30?What price will Ethereum hit August 24-30?
↑ 2,60054%YesNo
↓ 2,30033%YesNo
$148.6K Volume 7 days left
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
↑ 2,75074%YesNo
↑ 3,00056%YesNo
$472K Volume 01/01
What price will Ethereum hit on August 24?What price will Ethereum hit on August 24?
↑ 2,5504%YesNo
↓ 2,4002%YesNo
$77.1K Volume Ends today
Ethereum above ___ on August 25?Ethereum above ___ on August 25?
1,40099%YesNo
1,50099%YesNo
$245.5K Volume Ends today
Ethereum above ___ on August 28?Ethereum above ___ on August 28?
1,90099%YesNo
2,00099%YesNo
$245.5K Volume 4 days left
Ethereum above ___ on August 30?Ethereum above ___ on August 30?
1,90099%YesNo
2,00099%YesNo
$245.5K Volume 6 days left
Ethereum above ___ on August 26?Ethereum above ___ on August 26?
1,90099%YesNo
2,00099%YesNo
$245.5K Volume 2 days left
Ethereum Up or Down on August 25?Ethereum Up or Down on August 25?
Up41%
Down59%
$65.6K Volume Ends today
Ethereum above ___ on August 29?Ethereum above ___ on August 29?
1,90099%YesNo
2,00099%YesNo
$245.5K Volume 5 days left
Ethereum price on August 25?Ethereum price on August 25?
>2,40091%YesNo
2,300-2,4009%YesNo
$23K Volume Ends today
Ethereum above ___ on August 27?Ethereum above ___ on August 27?
1,80099%YesNo
1,90099%YesNo
$245.5K Volume 3 days left
Ethereum price on August 26?Ethereum price on August 26?
>2,50040%YesNo
2,400-2,50040%YesNo
$23K Volume 2 days left
Ethereum all time high by ___?Ethereum all time high by ___?
December 31, 20269%YesNo
September 30, 20263%YesNo
$2.4M Volume 01/01
Ethereum price on August 30?Ethereum price on August 30?
2,400-2,50023%YesNo
2,500-2,60020%YesNo
$23K Volume 6 days left
Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than ___ ETH before 2027?Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than ___ ETH before 2027?
7M ETH13%YesNo
9M ETH5%YesNo
$56.2K Volume 01/01
When will Ethereum hit $3k?When will Ethereum hit $3k?
by December 31, 202786%YesNo
by September 30, 202775%YesNo
$9.8K Volume 01/01
Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 8PM ETEthereum Up or Down - August 24, 8PM ET
Up24%
Down76%
$183.8K Volume Ends today
What will the Ethereum Implied Volatility Index hit by August 31?What will the Ethereum Implied Volatility Index hit by August 31?
↑ 6593%YesNo
↑ 7017%YesNo
$5.6K Volume 01/09
Ethereum price on August 27?Ethereum price on August 27?
2,400-2,50031%YesNo
2,500-2,60026%YesNo
$23K Volume 3 days left
Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETEthereum Up or Down - August 24, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Up40%
Down60%
$95.7K Volume Ends today
Ethereum above ___ on August 24, 9PM ET?Ethereum above ___ on August 24, 9PM ET?
2,45098%YesNo
2,46096%YesNo
$31.4K Volume Ends today
Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 6AM ETEthereum Up or Down - August 25, 6AM ET
Up50%
Down50%
$183.8K Volume Ends today
Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 5AM ETEthereum Up or Down - August 25, 5AM ET
Up51%
Down49%
$183.8K Volume Ends today
Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 1AM ETEthereum Up or Down - August 25, 1AM ET
Up51%
Down49%
$183.8K Volume Ends today
Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 9PM ETEthereum Up or Down - August 24, 9PM ET
Up50%
Down50%
$183.8K Volume Ends today
When will Ethereum hit $4k?When will Ethereum hit $4k?
by December 31, 202775%YesNo
by September 30, 202748%YesNo
$8.2K Volume 01/01
Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETEthereum Up or Down - August 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
Up50%
Down50%
$95.7K Volume Ends today
Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETEthereum Up or Down - August 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Up50%
Down50%
$95.7K Volume Ends today
Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETEthereum Up or Down - August 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Up50%
Down50%
$95.7K Volume Ends today
Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETEthereum Up or Down - August 25, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
Up50%
Down50%
$95.7K Volume Ends today
Ethereum price on August 28?Ethereum price on August 28?
2,400-2,50027%YesNo
2,500-2,60023%YesNo
$23K Volume 4 days left
Ethereum Up or Down on August 26?Ethereum Up or Down on August 26?
Up51%
Down49%
$65.6K Volume 2 days left
Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 10PM ETEthereum Up or Down - August 24, 10PM ET
Up50%
Down50%
$183.8K Volume Ends today
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?
$1,00028%
$3,00072%
$98.9K Volume 01/01
When will Ethereum hit $6k?When will Ethereum hit $6k?
by September 30, 202728%YesNo
by December 31, 202720%YesNo
$1.5K Volume 01/01
What will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit before 2027?What will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit before 2027?
5 Gwei21%YesNo
10 Gwei11%YesNo
$18.9K Volume 01/01
Ethereum price on August 29?Ethereum price on August 29?
2,400-2,50025%YesNo
2,500-2,60022%YesNo
$23K Volume 5 days left
Ethereum Up or Down - August 26, 4PM ETEthereum Up or Down - August 26, 4PM ET
Up51%
Down49%
$183.8K Volume 2 days left
Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 8PM ETEthereum Up or Down - August 25, 8PM ET
Up51%
Down49%
$183.8K Volume 2 days left
Ethereum ETF Flows on August 26?Ethereum ETF Flows on August 26?
Positive50%
Negative50%
$0 Volume 2 days left
Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETEthereum Up or Down - August 25, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Up50%
Down50%
$96K Volume 2 days left
Ethereum Up or Down - August 26, 1PM ETEthereum Up or Down - August 26, 1PM ET
Up51%
Down49%
$182.6K Volume 2 days left
Ethereum Up or Down - August 26, 8AM ETEthereum Up or Down - August 26, 8AM ET
Up51%
Down49%
$182.6K Volume 2 days left
Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 10AM ETEthereum Up or Down - August 25, 10AM ET
Up50%
Down50%
$182.6K Volume Ends today
Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 10PM ETEthereum Up or Down - August 25, 10PM ET
Up51%
Down49%
$182.6K Volume 2 days left
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027? US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?
4%
chance
Yes No
$17.7K Volume 31/12
Ethereum Up or Down - August 26, 5AM ETEthereum Up or Down - August 26, 5AM ET
Up51%
Down49%
$182.6K Volume 2 days left
Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 11PM ETEthereum Up or Down - August 25, 11PM ET
Up51%
Down49%
$182.6K Volume 2 days left
Ethereum Up or Down - August 26, 6PM ETEthereum Up or Down - August 26, 6PM ET
Up51%
Down49%
$182.6K Volume 2 days left
Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 5PM ETEthereum Up or Down - August 25, 5PM ET
Up51%
Down49%
$182.6K Volume Ends today
Ethereum Up or Down - August 26, 2AM ETEthereum Up or Down - August 26, 2AM ET
Up51%
Down49%
$182.6K Volume 2 days left
Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 8AM ETEthereum Up or Down - August 25, 8AM ET
Up51%
Down49%
$182.6K Volume Ends today
Ethereum Up or Down - August 26, 7PM ETEthereum Up or Down - August 26, 7PM ET
Up51%
Down49%
$182.6K Volume 2 days left
Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 6PM ETEthereum Up or Down - August 25, 6PM ET
Up51%
Down49%
$182.6K Volume Ends today
Ethereum Up or Down - August 26, 8PM ETEthereum Up or Down - August 26, 8PM ET
Up51%
Down49%
$182.6K Volume 3 days left
Ethereum Up or Down - August 26, 4AM ETEthereum Up or Down - August 26, 4AM ET
Up50%
Down50%
$182.6K Volume 2 days left
Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETEthereum Up or Down - August 25, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Up50%
Down50%
$96K Volume Ends today
Ethereum Up or Down - August 26, 12AM ETEthereum Up or Down - August 26, 12AM ET
Up51%
Down49%
$182.6K Volume 2 days left
Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 12PM ETEthereum Up or Down - August 25, 12PM ET
Up51%
Down49%
$182.6K Volume Ends today
Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 9AM ETEthereum Up or Down - August 25, 9AM ET
Up51%
Down49%
$182.6K Volume Ends today
Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 2AM ETEthereum Up or Down - August 25, 2AM ET
Up51%
Down49%
$182.6K Volume Ends today
Ethereum ETF Flows on August 24?Ethereum ETF Flows on August 24?
Positive50%
Negative50%
$0 Volume Ends today
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Ethereum Markets FAQ

How do Ethereum prediction markets work?

Each market is a binary or multi-outcome contract on a measurable event - ETH price, an upgrade passing, active-user threshold. Share price equals probability.

Can I trade ETH markets globally?

Yes. Polymarket runs on Polygon and is accessible in most regions. Use our referral link below to open an account in minutes.

Which ETH upgrades move the markets most?

Shanghai (staking withdrawals), Dencun (proto-danksharding) and EIP-1559 all reshaped volume and pricing. Future upgrades regularly create new markets.

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