Middle East Prediction Markets
Middle East prediction markets price the region's biggest questions - ceasefires, sanctions, nuclear talks, elections and conflict - as live probabilities that update with every headline.
On Polymarket these markets often carry deep liquidity around news events and run for weeks or months. Polymarkets tracks the real prices and probabilities for Israel, Iran, Gaza and Gulf markets, so you can read the crowd's view in real time, compare scenarios, and practice risk-free in training mode before trading on Polymarket.
August 2299%YesNoAugust 2599%YesNo
December 3112%YesNo
November 307%YesNo
Gadi Eizenkot58%YesNo
Benjamin Netanyahu27%YesNo
September 3041%YesNo
September 1518%YesNo
Mojtaba Khamenei82%YesNo
No Head of State4%YesNo
2.0-2.1M46%YesNo
2.1-2.2M34%YesNo
December 3129%YesNo
October 3113%YesNo
September 3094%YesNo
August 3177%YesNo
August 311%
September 303%
December 3149%YesNo
May 311%YesNo
September 3033%YesNo
September 1516%YesNo
August 1780%YesNo
August 2478%YesNo
Saudi Arabia10%YesNo
Venezuela10%YesNo
August 225%
August 3131%
December 3128%YesNo
September 307%YesNo
477%YesNo
513%YesNo
↑ 2.0M96%YesNo
↑ 2.1M58%YesNo
July 311%
August 311%
August 3138%YesNo
September 3034%YesNo
September 3050%YesNo
September 1520%YesNo
September 1551%YesNo
September 3051%YesNo
August 313%YesNo
June 263%YesNo
September 157%YesNo
September 307%YesNo
September 3040%YesNo
September 1534%YesNo
September 3032%YesNo
September 1520%YesNo
September 3023%YesNo
September 1512%YesNo
December 314%YesNo
March 311%YesNo
December 3118%YesNo
August 311%YesNo
Somaliland16%YesNo
Lebanon9%YesNo
December 31, 202550%YesNo
December 31, 202629%YesNo
October 3150%YesNo
December 3150%YesNo
December 3111%YesNo
August 311%YesNo
December 318%YesNo
October 313%YesNo
December 31, 20269%YesNoJune 30, 20261%YesNo
August 3111%YesNo
May 312%YesNo
October 3150%YesNo
December 3150%YesNo
June 301%YesNo
August 311%YesNo
August 313%YesNo
July 312%YesNo
December 319%
June 301%
December 3115%YesNo
April 301%YesNo
August 315%YesNo
July 311%YesNo
August 3110%YesNo
May 312%YesNo
December 315%YesNo
June 301%YesNo
June 30, 20261%
December 31, 20269%
December 312%YesNo
June 151%YesNo
December 316%
June 301%
June 301%
December 314%
September 304%YesNo
September 151%YesNo
September 306%YesNo
September 155%YesNo
December 3150%YesNo
December 31, 20268%YesNo
June 301%December 3114%Middle East markets FAQ
What do Middle East markets cover?
Israel and Iran developments, Gaza and regional ceasefires, sanctions, nuclear-deal negotiations, elections and broader conflict outcomes - each as a yes/no or multi-outcome market with a live probability.
How do the odds work?
Each outcome trades between 1¢ and 99¢; the price is the market's implied probability. Prices move in real time as traders react to news, so they reflect the current consensus rather than a fixed line.
Can I follow or test these without risk?
Yes. Polymarkets's free training mode lets you paper-trade any market with live prices and $1,000 in practice money - no card, no risk - before going to Polymarket.
