以太坊预测市场 (ETH)

以太坊预测市场让您可以交易网络升级、ETH价格目标、ETF批准和链上指标——质押比例、燃气费用和活跃地址。概率来自实时Polymarket订单簿深度。

与BTC市场的主要区别:ETH市场更受技术事件(EIP、硬分叉、上海/邓昆)的影响,而比特币则跟踪ETF和宏观头条新闻。

59 活跃市场
↓ 2,40075%
↑ 2,60057%
↑ 2,60051%
↓ 2,30039%
2,6001%
2,5001%
↑ 2,75072%
↑ 3,00056%
↓ 2,40016%
↑ 2,55013%
1,40099%
1,50099%
1,90099%
2,00098%
1,90099%
2,00098%
Up2%
Down98%
1,90099%
2,00099%
Up38%
Down62%
Up22%
Down78%
1,90098%
2,00098%
>2,40081%
2,300-2,40017%
1,80099%
1,90099%
Up50%
Down50%
2,300-2,40049%
>2,50048%
2,300-2,40018%
2,200-2,30017%
2,45098%
2,43098%
7M ETH13%
9M ETH5%
by December 31, 202786%
by September 30, 202775%
↑ 6593%
↑ 7017%
2,200-2,30047%
2,500-2,60047%
Up50%
Down50%
December 31, 202610%
September 30, 20263%
Up51%
Down49%
Up51%
Down49%
Up51%
Down49%
Up50%
Down50%
by December 31, 202729%
by September 30, 202728%
Up50%
Down50%
Up51%
Down49%
Up50%
Down50%
Up50%
Down50%
Up50%
Down50%
Up50%
Down50%
2,300-2,40023%
2,400-2,50023%
$1,00028%
$3,00072%
Up51%
Down49%
Up51%
Down49%
by December 31, 202775%
by September 30, 202748%
Up51%
Down49%
Up51%
Down49%
2,100-2,20049%
2,700-2,80048%
Up51%
Down49%
Up50%
Down50%
Up51%
Down49%
Up51%
Down49%
Up51%
Down49%
Up51%
Down49%
Up51%
Down49%
Up50%
Down50%
Up51%
Down49%
Up51%
Down49%
Up51%
Down49%
Up51%
Down49%
Up51%
Down49%
5 Gwei22%
15 Gwei12%

以太坊市场常见问题

以太坊预测市场如何运作?

每个市场是一个关于可测量事件的二元或多结果合约——ETH价格、升级通过、活跃用户阈值。股价等于概率。

我可以在全球范围内交易ETH市场吗?

可以。Polymarket在Polygon上运行,并在大多数地区可访问。使用我们下面的推荐链接在几分钟内开设账户。

哪些ETH升级对市场影响最大?

上海(质押提款)、邓昆(原型丹克分片)和EIP-1559都重塑了交易量和定价。未来的升级定期创造新市场。

免费开始 Polymarket 训练
用虚拟资金交易预测市场。真实价格,零风险。在排行榜上竞争。
$1K
虚拟现金
500+
市场
$0
真实风险
了解更多