🌍 预测市场：中东

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Middle East prediction markets — Israel, Iran, Gaza and more

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 22August 2299%是否
August 25August 2599%是否
$250.5万 成交量 30/09
美伊最终核协议到...?美伊最终核协议到...?
12月31日12%是否
November 307%是否
$1,618.8万 成交量 01/01
美国会在2027年前入侵伊朗吗？ 美国会在2027年前入侵伊朗吗？
17%
概率
是 否
$8.5万 成交量 31/12
以色列下次选举后，谁将成为下任总理？以色列下次选举后，谁将成为下任总理？
加迪·埃伊森科特加迪·埃伊森科特58%是否
本杰明·内塔尼亚胡本杰明·内塔尼亚胡27%是否
$3,296.8万 成交量 31/12
Will Iran target Jordan by...?Will Iran target Jordan by...?
September 3039%是否
September 1518%是否
$4.1万 成交量 30/09
伊朗政权会在2027年前垮台吗？ 伊朗政权会在2027年前垮台吗？
7%
概率
是 否
$7.9万 成交量 31/12
伊朗领导人将在2026年底更替？伊朗领导人将在2026年底更替？
莫赫塔巴·哈梅内伊82%是否
无国家元首4%是否
$3,878.4万 成交量 31/12
伊朗是否在12月31日前同意停止铀浓缩？ 伊朗是否在12月31日前同意停止铀浓缩？
14%
概率
是 否
$2.2万 成交量 31/12
USD x Iranian rials End of August?USD x Iranian rials End of August?
2.0-2.1M46%是否
2.1-2.2M34%是否
$2.1万 成交量 31/08
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
December 3129%是否
October 3113%是否
$684.6万 成交量 01/01
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
September 3094%是否
August 3177%是否
$2.2万 成交量 30/09
Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
August 311%
September 303%
$10.8万 成交量 01/10
Netanyahu会在...前下台吗？Netanyahu会在...前下台吗？
December 3149%是否
May 311%是否
$5,963 成交量 01/01
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?
September 3033%是否
September 1516%是否
$5,048 成交量 30/09
Houthis successfully target shipping on...?Houthis successfully target shipping on...?
August 2478%是否
August 1776%是否
$2.2万 成交量 31/08
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
沙特阿拉伯沙特阿拉伯10%是否
VenezuelaVenezuela10%是否
$4,234 成交量 31/12
Will Iran target an Arab country by...?Will Iran target an Arab country by...?
August 225%
August 3130%
$3,545 成交量 31/08
Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?
December 3128%是否
September 307%是否
$2,313 成交量 01/01
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
16%
概率
是 否
$1,704 成交量 31/12
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
477%是否
513%是否
$1,652 成交量 31/12
Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by August 31?Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by August 31?
↑ 2.0M97%是否
↑ 2.1M58%是否
$1,578 成交量 31/08
Iran invades Kuwait by...?Iran invades Kuwait by...?
July 311%
August 311%
$103.9万 成交量 01/09
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31? Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31?
2%
概率
是 否
$1,748 成交量 31/08
Will Iran target Bahrain by...?Will Iran target Bahrain by...?
August 3140%是否
September 3035%是否
$1,170 成交量 30/09
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?
September 3050%是否
September 1520%是否
$1,052 成交量 30/09
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by...?Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by...?
September 1551%是否
September 3051%是否
$957 成交量 30/09
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?
21%
概率
是 否
$3万 成交量 31/12
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 313%是否
June 263%是否
$157.4万 成交量 01/09
Will Iran target Syria by...?Will Iran target Syria by...?
September 157%是否
September 307%是否
$674 成交量 30/09
Will Iran target Iraq by...?Will Iran target Iraq by...?
September 3040%是否
September 1534%是否
$647 成交量 30/09
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
17%
概率
是 否
$1,748 成交量 31/12
伊朗是否在9月30日前同意停止铀浓缩？ 伊朗是否在9月30日前同意停止铀浓缩？
4%
概率
是 否
$2.2万 成交量 30/09
Will Iran target Kuwait by...?Will Iran target Kuwait by...?
September 3032%是否
September 1520%是否
$379 成交量 30/09
Will Iran target Qatar by...?Will Iran target Qatar by...?
September 30September 3023%是否
September 15September 1511%是否
$356 成交量 30/09
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
December 314%是否
March 311%是否
$294 成交量 01/01
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
5%
概率
是 否
$34.5万 成交量 31/12
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
8%
概率
是 否
$16.1万 成交量 31/12
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30? US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?
3%
概率
是 否
$17.4万 成交量 30/09
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?
December 3118%是否
August 311%是否
$173.7万 成交量 01/01
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
7%
概率
是 否
$146 成交量 31/12
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Somaliland16%是否
Lebanon9%是否
$143 成交量 31/12
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
10%
概率
是 否
$73 成交量 31/12
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?
December 31, 202550%是否
December 31, 202629%是否
$45.6万 成交量 01/01
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
October 3150%是否
December 3150%是否
$288.4万 成交量 01/01
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
December 3111%是否
August 311%是否
$116万 成交量
伊朗同意在...之前交出浓缩铀库存...?伊朗同意在...之前交出浓缩铀库存...?
12月31日8%是否
10月31日3%是否
$1,777.1万 成交量 01/01
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
8%
概率
是 否
$55 成交量 31/12
Will Israel annex any territory by...?Will Israel annex any territory by...?
December 31, 2026December 31, 20268%是否
June 30, 2026June 30, 20261%是否
$53.3万 成交量 01/01
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?
August 3111%是否
May 312%是否
$34.2万 成交量 31/08
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
1%
概率
是 否
$19.4万 成交量 31/12
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
5%
概率
是 否
$10.1万 成交量 31/12
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
October 3150%是否
December 3150%是否
$406.3万 成交量 01/01
Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?
June 301%是否
August 311%是否
$13.7万 成交量 31/08
Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?
August 313%是否
July 312%是否
$10.1万 成交量 31/08
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
5%
概率
是 否
$15.8万 成交量 31/12
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
9%
概率
是 否
$15 成交量 31/12
Iran Nuke before 2027? Iran Nuke before 2027?
5%
概率
是 否
$13 成交量 31/12
Iran coup attempt by...?Iran coup attempt by...?
December 319%
June 301%
$212.3万 成交量 01/01
Masoud Pezeshkian会在...前下台吗？Masoud Pezeshkian会在...前下台吗？
December 3115%是否
April 301%是否
$86.6万 成交量 01/01
Houthi military action against Israel by...?Houthi military action against Israel by...?
August 315%是否
July 311%是否
$11 成交量 31/08
Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?
August 3110%是否
May 312%是否
$16.6万 成交量 31/08
Iran nuclear test before 2027? Iran nuclear test before 2027?
5%
概率
是 否
$6 成交量 31/12
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31? Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
18%
概率
是 否
$6 成交量 31/12
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
5%
概率
是 否
$63.2万 成交量 31/12
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
4%
概率
是 否
$11.1万 成交量 31/12
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
December 315%是否
June 301%是否
$2,182.5万 成交量 01/01
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026? Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?
8%
概率
是 否
$1.2万 成交量 01/01
Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?
December 316%
June 301%
$76.7万 成交量 01/01
Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
December 312%是否
June 151%是否
$18.5万 成交量 01/01
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
8%
概率
是 否
$18.6万 成交量 31/12
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
June 301%
December 314%
$11.8万 成交量 01/01
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
10%
概率
是 否
$23.6万 成交量 31/12
Will Iran target Egypt by...?Will Iran target Egypt by...?
September 304%是否
September 152%是否
$2.1万 成交量 30/09
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
18%
概率
是 否
$5.4万 成交量 31/12
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
93%
概率
是 否
$16.7万 成交量 31/12
Will Iran target Oman by...?Will Iran target Oman by...?
September 306%是否
September 154%是否
$2.8万 成交量 30/09
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
7%
概率
是 否
$3.2万 成交量 31/12
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
December 3150%是否
December 31, 20268%是否
$94万 成交量 01/01
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?
June 301%
December 3114%
$14.2万 成交量 01/01
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?
June 30, 20261%
December 31, 20269%
$349.7万 成交量 01/01
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