This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
11°C or below
87%
12°C
50%
13°C
50%
14°C
50%
15°C
49%
16°C
49%
17°C
49%
18°C
37%
19°C
8%
20°C
8%
21°C or higher
2%
Resolution Source: www.weather.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 29?
The field is wide open: 11°C or below tops it at just 44%, with 13°C close behind at 31%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 29?
No strong consensus yet: 11°C or below tops the implied probabilities at just 44%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 29 market resolve?
The market runs until 29 Aug 2026 (3 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 29?
$1.9K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 29 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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