AI · Tech

Will Claude go down on __ days in September?

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$3.6K Volume

30/09/2026 23:59

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Past

Jul 31 Jun 30 May 31 Apr 30 Mar 31

Sep 30 Aug 31

5-7

70%

8-10

70%

11-13

70%

14+

70%

This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.

Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.

A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.

This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Will Claude go down on __ days in September?

The field is wide open: 8-10 tops it at just 41%, with 11-13 close behind at 41%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.

What do traders predict for Will Claude go down on __ days in September?

Right now the market's best guess is 8-10 at 41% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.

When does the Will Claude go down on __ days in September market resolve?

The market runs until 30 Sep 2026 (35 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.

How much money is trading on Will Claude go down on __ days in September?

Traders have put $3.6K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.

How can I trade Will Claude go down on __ days in September on Polymarket?

You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.