Masoko ya Utabiri wa Uchaguzi

Masoko ya uchaguzi ni msingi wa Polymarket: uchaguzi wa rais wa Marekani, uchaguzi wa chama, mbio za bunge, na kura za demokrasia yoyote kubwa. Masoko ya uchaguzi ya Marekani ya 2024 yalipata mabilioni katika kiasi.

Bei inachanganya kura, data za fedha za chama, viashiria vya kiuchumi na ripoti, yote yakiwa yamechujwa kuwa bei moja. Ni eneo tajiri la biashara kwa wachambuzi na wawekezaji wanaoendeshwa na maoni.

78 masoko ya kazi
Mgombea Urais wa Republican 2028Mgombea Urais wa Republican 2028
J.D. VanceJ.D. Vance47%NdiyoHapana
Marco RubioMarco Rubio20%NdiyoHapana
$691.1M Kiasi 07/11
Uchaguzi wa Rais wa Ufaransa UjaoUchaguzi wa Rais wa Ufaransa Ujao
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen32%NdiyoHapana
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe25%NdiyoHapana
$121.6M Kiasi 30/04
Uchaguzi wa Rais wa BrazilUchaguzi wa Rais wa Brazil
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva63%NdiyoHapana
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro34%NdiyoHapana
$132.2M Kiasi 04/10
Mshindi wa Uchaguzi wa Rais wa 2028Mshindi wa Uchaguzi wa Rais wa 2028
JD VanceJD Vance23%NdiyoHapana
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez14%NdiyoHapana
$692.2M Kiasi 07/11
Mgombea Urais wa Kidemokrasia 2028Mgombea Urais wa Kidemokrasia 2028
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez21%NdiyoHapana
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom15%NdiyoHapana
$1.27B Kiasi 07/11
Ni chama gani kitapata viti vingi zaidi katika Uchaguzi wa Bunge la Urusi?Ni chama gani kitapata viti vingi zaidi katika Uchaguzi wa Bunge la Urusi?
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)72%NdiyoHapana
New People (NL)New People (NL)22%NdiyoHapana
$21.8M Kiasi 20/09
Next Prime Minister of SwedenNext Prime Minister of Sweden
Magdalena AnderssonMagdalena Andersson91%NdiyoHapana
Ulf KristerssonUlf Kristersson10%NdiyoHapana
$4M Kiasi 13/09
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary WinnerSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone65%NdiyoHapana
Ralph NormanRalph Norman35%NdiyoHapana
$2.9M Kiasi Inaisha leo
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 3197%NdiyoHapana
September 3089%NdiyoHapana
$26.3M Kiasi 31/08
Nani atakuwa Waziri Mkuu wa Israel baada ya uchaguzi ujao?Nani atakuwa Waziri Mkuu wa Israel baada ya uchaguzi ujao?
Gadi EizenkotGadi Eizenkot55%NdiyoHapana
Benjamin NetanyahuBenjamin Netanyahu26%NdiyoHapana
$33M Kiasi 31/12
Texas Senate Election WinnerTexas Senate Election Winner
James Talarico (D)James Talarico (D)51%NdiyoHapana
Ken Paxton (R)Ken Paxton (R)50%NdiyoHapana
$915.5K Kiasi 03/11
Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep48%NdiyoHapana
R Senate, D House39%NdiyoHapana
$10.4M Kiasi 03/11
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
1%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$128.2K Kiasi 20/09
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election WinnerRio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner
Eduardo PaesEduardo Paes94%NdiyoHapana
Douglas RuasDouglas Ruas5%NdiyoHapana
$419.1K Kiasi 05/10
How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?
325–33941%NdiyoHapana
340–35422%NdiyoHapana
$211.2K Kiasi 20/09
Michigan Senate Election WinnerMichigan Senate Election Winner
Abdul El-Sayed (D)Abdul El-Sayed (D)61%NdiyoHapana
Mike Rogers (R)Mike Rogers (R)39%NdiyoHapana
$587.2K Kiasi 03/11
Ni chama gani kitakachoshinda Baraza la Wawakilishi mwaka 2026?Ni chama gani kitakachoshinda Baraza la Wawakilishi mwaka 2026?
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party89%NdiyoHapana
Republican PartyRepublican Party12%NdiyoHapana
$14.2K Kiasi 03/11
Who will win the Democratic nomination for Providence, Rhode Island Mayor?Who will win the Democratic nomination for Providence, Rhode Island Mayor?
David Morales52%NdiyoHapana
Brett Smiley46%NdiyoHapana
$22.6K Kiasi 09/09
Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?
Scott JenningsScott Jennings25%NdiyoHapana
Anna KellyAnna Kelly17%NdiyoHapana
$149.6K Kiasi 31/12
Espírito Santo Governor Election Winner Espírito Santo Governor Election Winner
Ricardo Ferraço78%NdiyoHapana
Lorenzo Pazolini16%NdiyoHapana
$30.4K Kiasi 05/10
Rhode Island Governor Democratic Primary WinnerRhode Island Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Helena FoulkesHelena Foulkes94%NdiyoHapana
Dan McKeeDan McKee5%NdiyoHapana
$39.2K Kiasi 08/09
Russia Parliamentary Election WinnerRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)99%NdiyoHapana
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)1%NdiyoHapana
$3.3M Kiasi 20/09
Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?
December 3196%NdiyoHapana
September 3093%NdiyoHapana
$356.8K Kiasi 01/01
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Jean-Luc MélenchonJean-Luc Mélenchon96%NdiyoHapana
Nathalie ArthaudNathalie Arthaud89%NdiyoHapana
$312.5K Kiasi 17/04
Nigerian Presidential Election WinnerNigerian Presidential Election Winner
Bola TinubuBola Tinubu70%NdiyoHapana
Peter ObiPeter Obi24%NdiyoHapana
$113.7K Kiasi 16/01
Amazonas Senate Election: 1st PlaceAmazonas Senate Election: 1st Place
Eduardo BragaEduardo Braga72%NdiyoHapana
Capitão Alberto NetoCapitão Alberto Neto17%NdiyoHapana
$16.7K Kiasi 04/10
Piauí Senate Election: 2nd PlacePiauí Senate Election: 2nd Place
Ciro NogueiraCiro Nogueira43%NdiyoHapana
Marcelo CastroMarcelo Castro21%NdiyoHapana
$20.7K Kiasi 04/10
Les Républicains Seat Count after French Senate Election?Les Républicains Seat Count after French Senate Election?
125-12830%NdiyoHapana
121-12423%NdiyoHapana
$10.8K Kiasi 12/10
Colima Governor Election WinnerColima Governor Election Winner
Rosa María Bayardo CabreraRosa María Bayardo Cabrera57%NdiyoHapana
Griselda Martínez MartínezGriselda Martínez Martínez10%NdiyoHapana
$27.5K Kiasi 06/06
Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd PlaceTocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place
Alexandre GuimarãesAlexandre Guimarães41%NdiyoHapana
GaguimGaguim40%NdiyoHapana
$17K Kiasi 04/10
Tocantins Governor Election WinnerTocantins Governor Election Winner
Professora DorinhaProfessora Dorinha57%NdiyoHapana
Vicentinho JúniorVicentinho Júnior40%NdiyoHapana
$15.3K Kiasi 04/10
Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st PlaceRio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st Place
Carlos JordyCarlos Jordy48%NdiyoHapana
Benedita da SilvaBenedita da Silva48%NdiyoHapana
$25.2K Kiasi 04/10
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro86%NdiyoHapana
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva5%NdiyoHapana
$5.2M Kiasi 04/10
IN-07 House Election WinnerIN-07 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%NdiyoHapana
Republican Party5%NdiyoHapana
$29.6K Kiasi 03/11
San Luis Potosí Governor Election WinnerSan Luis Potosí Governor Election Winner
Ruth González SilvaRuth González Silva53%NdiyoHapana
Gerardo Sánchez ZumayaGerardo Sánchez Zumaya10%NdiyoHapana
$21K Kiasi 06/06
WA-09 House Election WinnerWA-09 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%NdiyoHapana
Republican Party3%NdiyoHapana
$49.4K Kiasi 03/11
Rondônia Senate Election: 1st PlaceRondônia Senate Election: 1st Place
Dr. Fernando MáximoDr. Fernando Máximo38%NdiyoHapana
Sílvia CristinaSílvia Cristina38%NdiyoHapana
$23.1K Kiasi 04/10
Sweden Parliamentary Election: KD Vote Share?Sweden Parliamentary Election: KD Vote Share?
5-7%63%NdiyoHapana
7-9%25%NdiyoHapana
$14.8K Kiasi 13/09
MA-08 Democratic Primary WinnerMA-08 Democratic Primary Winner
Stephen LynchStephen Lynch50%NdiyoHapana
Patrick RoathPatrick Roath48%NdiyoHapana
$31.5K Kiasi 01/09
Je, Netanyahu ataondoka madarakani kufikia...?Je, Netanyahu ataondoka madarakani kufikia...?
December 3149%NdiyoHapana
May 311%NdiyoHapana
$7.1K Kiasi 01/01
Chicoutimi—Le Fjord By-Election WinnerChicoutimi—Le Fjord By-Election Winner
Daniel GobeilDaniel Gobeil75%NdiyoHapana
Caroline DubéCaroline Dubé24%NdiyoHapana
$42.3K Kiasi 31/08
Piauí Senate Election: 1st PlacePiauí Senate Election: 1st Place
Ciro NogueiraCiro Nogueira48%NdiyoHapana
Marcelo CastroMarcelo Castro39%NdiyoHapana
$31.8K Kiasi 04/10
Berlin State Election WinnerBerlin State Election Winner
LinkeLinke58%NdiyoHapana
CDUCDU26%NdiyoHapana
$3.3M Kiasi 20/09
Mato Grosso Governor Election WinnerMato Grosso Governor Election Winner
Wellington FagundesWellington Fagundes54%NdiyoHapana
Otaviano PivettaOtaviano Pivetta44%NdiyoHapana
$15.5K Kiasi 04/10
Cusco Mayoral Election WinnerCusco Mayoral Election Winner
Albert Aníbal Arenas YabarAlbert Aníbal Arenas Yabar30%NdiyoHapana
Sergio Sullca CondoriSergio Sullca Condori28%NdiyoHapana
$18.5K Kiasi 04/10
Wisconsin Governor Election WinnerWisconsin Governor Election Winner
David Crowley (D)David Crowley (D)81%NdiyoHapana
Tom Tiffany (R)Tom Tiffany (R)20%NdiyoHapana
$485.9K Kiasi 03/11
Florida Senate Election WinnerFlorida Senate Election Winner
Ashley Moody (R)Ashley Moody (R)92%NdiyoHapana
Angie Nixon (D)Angie Nixon (D)8%NdiyoHapana
$94.8K Kiasi
Ohio Senate Election WinnerOhio Senate Election Winner
Sherrod Brown (D)Sherrod Brown (D)54%NdiyoHapana
Jon Husted (R)Jon Husted (R)47%NdiyoHapana
$183.4K Kiasi 03/11
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
59%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$168.2K Kiasi 20/09
Chiclayo Mayoral Election WinnerChiclayo Mayoral Election Winner
Edwin Gonzalo Vásquez SánchezEdwin Gonzalo Vásquez Sánchez30%NdiyoHapana
Agustín Villarreal GranadosAgustín Villarreal Granados26%NdiyoHapana
$7.3K Kiasi 04/10
São Paulo Senate Election: 1st PlaceSão Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place
Guilherme DerriteGuilherme Derrite46%NdiyoHapana
Simone TebetSimone Tebet31%NdiyoHapana
$24.3K Kiasi 04/10
Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary WinnerOklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner
N’Kiyla “Jasmine” ThomasN’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas92%NdiyoHapana
Jim PriestJim Priest8%NdiyoHapana
$118.9K Kiasi Inaisha leo
São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd PlaceSão Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place
Guilherme DerriteGuilherme Derrite35%NdiyoHapana
Marina SilvaMarina Silva32%NdiyoHapana
$23.3K Kiasi 04/10
NC-04 House Election WinnerNC-04 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%NdiyoHapana
Republican Party5%NdiyoHapana
$38.3K Kiasi 03/11
NC-12 House Election WinnerNC-12 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%NdiyoHapana
Republican Party3%NdiyoHapana
$63.6K Kiasi 03/11
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Vote Share?Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Vote Share?
3-5%49%NdiyoHapana
5-7%42%NdiyoHapana
$8.2K Kiasi 06/09
Pernambuco Senate Election: 2nd PlacePernambuco Senate Election: 2nd Place
Humberto CostaHumberto Costa45%NdiyoHapana
Mendonça FilhoMendonça Filho34%NdiyoHapana
$19.5K Kiasi 04/10
AL-07 House Election WinnerAL-07 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%NdiyoHapana
Republican Party5%NdiyoHapana
$67.1K Kiasi 03/11
Latvian Parliamentary Election WinnerLatvian Parliamentary Election Winner
AS49%NdiyoHapana
SV26%NdiyoHapana
$197.6K Kiasi 03/10
Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary WinnerOklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner
Mike MazzeiMike Mazzei79%NdiyoHapana
Gentner DrummondGentner Drummond21%NdiyoHapana
$529.7K Kiasi Inaisha leo
VT-AL House Election WinnerVT-AL House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%NdiyoHapana
Republican Party5%NdiyoHapana
$39.6K Kiasi 03/11
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
38%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$373.9K Kiasi 06/09
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen84%NdiyoHapana
Jean-Luc MélenchonJean-Luc Mélenchon50%NdiyoHapana
$93.3K Kiasi 30/04
Florida Governor Election WinnerFlorida Governor Election Winner
Byron Donalds (R)Byron Donalds (R)80%NdiyoHapana
David Jolly (D)David Jolly (D)22%NdiyoHapana
$55.7K Kiasi 03/11
SER Seat Count after French Senate Election?SER Seat Count after French Senate Election?
62-6430%NdiyoHapana
59-6129%NdiyoHapana
$7.2K Kiasi 12/10
Arequipa Mayoral Election WinnerArequipa Mayoral Election Winner
Andrés Eliseo Risueño PortugalAndrés Eliseo Risueño Portugal31%NdiyoHapana
Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar LlosaRicardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa18%NdiyoHapana
$8K Kiasi 04/10
TX-01 House Election WinnerTX-01 House Election Winner
Republican Party95%NdiyoHapana
Democratic Party5%NdiyoHapana
$42.3K Kiasi 03/11
Lagos, Nigeria Governor Election WinnerLagos, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Obafemi HamzatObafemi Hamzat87%NdiyoHapana
Rhodes-Vivour Gbadebo PatrickRhodes-Vivour Gbadebo Patrick6%NdiyoHapana
$5.4K Kiasi 06/02
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
≤4727%NdiyoHapana
4914%NdiyoHapana
$2.9M Kiasi 03/11
Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Zukan HelezZukan Helez37%NdiyoHapana
Sabina ĆudićSabina Ćudić27%NdiyoHapana
$66.8K Kiasi
Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st PlaceMinas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place
Marília CamposMarília Campos48%NdiyoHapana
Carlos VianaCarlos Viana13%NdiyoHapana
$17.5K Kiasi 04/10
Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 2nd PlaceRio de Janeiro Senate Election: 2nd Place
Carlos JordyCarlos Jordy28%NdiyoHapana
Pedro PauloPedro Paulo21%NdiyoHapana
$27.1K Kiasi 04/10
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Charleston County WinnerSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Charleston County Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone78%NdiyoHapana
Ralph NormanRalph Norman22%NdiyoHapana
$14.3K Kiasi Siku 2 zimebaki
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?
49%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$33.5K Kiasi Siku 6 zimebaki
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
6%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$260.1K Kiasi 31/12
France United Left Primary WinnerFrance United Left Primary Winner
Canceled94%NdiyoHapana
François RuffinFrançois Ruffin1%NdiyoHapana
$210.6K Kiasi 11/10
French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
Éric Zemmour68%NdiyoHapana
Olivier Faure59%NdiyoHapana
$70.8K Kiasi 23/04
Santa Catarina Senate Election: 1st PlaceSanta Catarina Senate Election: 1st Place
Carol de ToniCarol de Toni45%NdiyoHapana
Carlos BolsonaroCarlos Bolsonaro39%NdiyoHapana
$10.1K Kiasi 04/10
Pata zaidi kwenye Polymarket →

Maswali Yanayoulizwa Kuhusu Masoko ya Uchaguzi

Kwa nini masoko ya uchaguzi ni sahihi?

Yanahitaji 'ngozi kwenye mchezo': watu wanaweka pesa kwenye maoni yao, wakichuja kelele zisizo za ubora. Kiasi kikubwa, bei inakuwa ya kuaminika zaidi.

Ni masoko gani ya uchaguzi yanayoendelea sasa?

Marekani 2028, Israel (kwa tarehe), uchaguzi wa mitaa wa Uingereza na EU, pamoja na uchaguzi wa chama. Fuata ukurasa wetu kwa sasisho.

Ninawezaje kupima hatari katika masoko ya uchaguzi?

Angalia likuiditi (kina cha kitabu cha maagizo), mabadiliko ya kihistoria, na tarehe ya uamuzi. Masoko yenye likuiditi finyu yanakabiliwa na bei zisizo bora.

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