פולימרקט על טראמפ

שווקי טראמפ הם בין הפעילים ביותר בפולימרקט: כהונה, משפטים, מדיניות חוץ (אוקראינה, סין, מזרח תיכון), מדיניות פנים, ומשרה כללית. נפחי מסחר חורגים ממאות מיליוני דולרים.

שווקים אלה מגיבים חזק לכל הצהרה משמעותית, באמצעות Truth Social, ראיונות, או הודעות רשמיות מהבית הלבן. הסיקור בזמן אמת מייצר הזדמנויות סחר.

100 שווקים פעילים
מיון
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
14%
סיכוי
כן לא
$9.5M נפח 01/01
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 22August 2299%כןלא
August 25August 2599%כןלא
$2.5M נפח 30/09
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
December 3173%כןלא
October 3153%כןלא
$19.3M נפח 01/01
Trump out as President before 2027? Trump out as President before 2027?
7%
סיכוי
כן לא
$173.7K נפח 31/12
מתי תיערך הסבב הבא של שיחות השלום בין ארה"ב לאיראן...?מתי תיערך הסבב הבא של שיחות השלום בין ארה"ב לאיראן...?
March 31, 202765%כןלא
December 31, 202652%כןלא
$115.8K נפח 01/04
האם ארה"ב תפלוש לאיראן לפני 2027? האם ארה"ב תפלוש לאיראן לפני 2027?
17%
סיכוי
כן לא
$84.6K נפח 31/12
האם המשטר האיראני ייפול לפני 2027? האם המשטר האיראני ייפול לפני 2027?
7%
סיכוי
כן לא
$79.4K נפח 31/12
Russia nuclear test by...?Russia nuclear test by...?
December 31, 2026December 31, 20266%כןלא
September 30, 2026September 30, 20261%כןלא
$6.2M נפח 01/01
Trump out as President by August 31? Trump out as President by August 31?
1%
סיכוי
כן לא
$173.7K נפח 31/08
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
September 3017%כןלא
September 158%כןלא
$663.6K נפח 01/10
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
July 314%
August 314%
$274.2K נפח 01/09
החלטת הפד באוקטובר?החלטת הפד באוקטובר?
No change72%כןלא
25 bps increase25%כןלא
$1.5M נפח 28/10
NATO x Russia military clash by...?NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 3125%כןלא
October 3115%כןלא
$5.9M נפח 01/01
איראן תסכים להפסיק את העשרת האורניום עד 31 בדצמבר? איראן תסכים להפסיק את העשרת האורניום עד 31 בדצמבר?
14%
סיכוי
כן לא
$22.4K נפח 31/12
Who will Trump meet with in August?Who will Trump meet with in August?
Elon MuskElon Musk12%כןלא
Giorgia MeloniGiorgia Meloni3%כןלא
$31.4K נפח 31/08
איפה ייערך הסבב הבא של שיחות השלום בין ארה"ב לאיראן...?איפה ייערך הסבב הבא של שיחות השלום בין ארה"ב לאיראן...?
אין פגישה עד 30 בספטמבר74%כןלא
שווייץ10%כןלא
$17.6K נפח 30/09
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Mohammad Bagher GhalibafMohammad Bagher Ghalibaf43%כןלא
Jared KushnerJared Kushner39%כןלא
$16.9K נפח 31/12
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
September 3052%כןלא
August 3115%כןלא
$908.6K נפח 01/10
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31No meeting by December 3152%כןלא
ChinaChina45%כןלא
$14.9K נפח 31/12
Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?
Scott JenningsScott Jennings28%כןלא
Anna KellyAnna Kelly16%כןלא
$147.5K נפח 31/12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
June 30, 202757%כןלא
March 31, 202741%כןלא
$6M נפח 01/07
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
AlibabaAlibaba22%כןלא
CATLCATL20%כןלא
$186.5K נפח 30/06
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Mohammed bin SalmanMohammed bin Salman77%כןלא
Vladimir PutinVladimir Putin46%כןלא
$31.4K נפח 31/12
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
August 2495%כןלא
August 2893%כןלא
$9.1K נפח 01/09
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?
200+89%כןלא
180-19910%כןלא
$11.4K נפח עוד 2 ימים
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
4%
סיכוי
כן לא
$7.5K נפח 31/12
Venezuela leader end of 2026?Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro86%כןלא
Delcy Rodríguez10%כןלא
$95.8M נפח 31/12
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
87%
סיכוי
כן לא
$6.2K נפח 31/12
האם שי ג'ינפינג יבקר בארצות הברית לפני 2027?האם שי ג'ינפינג יבקר בארצות הברית לפני 2027?
December 3197%כןלא
October 3196%כןלא
$738.5K נפח 31/12
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?
30+7%כןלא
40+2%כןלא
$5.3K נפח 31/08
החלטת הפד בינואר?החלטת הפד בינואר?
No change61%כןלא
25 bps increase22%כןלא
$1.5M נפח 27/01
החלטת הפד בדצמבר?החלטת הפד בדצמבר?
No change61%כןלא
25 bps increase29%כןלא
$1.5M נפח 09/12
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?
August 31, 20261%
December 31, 202610%
$4K נפח 01/01
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
6%
סיכוי
כן לא
$260.1K נפח 31/12
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
≤4727%כןלא
4914%כןלא
$2.9M נפח 03/11
Who will be arrested before 2027?Who will be arrested before 2027?
Mahmoud Khalil30%כןלא
John Brennan18%כןלא
$389K נפח
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?
1024%כןלא
1220%כןלא
$10.4K נפח 03/11
What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?
Productivity76%כןלא
Framework74%כןלא
$45.5K נפח עוד 5 ימים
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?
December 31, 20265%
June 30, 202711%
$26K נפח 01/07
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 316%כןלא
September 302%כןלא
$29.1M נפח 01/01
What will Trump say in August?What will Trump say in August?
Green New Scam59%כןלא
Thomas Jefferson53%כןלא
$2.8K נפח 31/08
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
Iran 5+ times64%כןלא
Go ahead 5+ times63%כןלא
$2.7K נפח 31/08
What will Trump say this week? (August 24 - August 30)What will Trump say this week? (August 24 - August 30)
God99%כןלא
Ballroom93%כןלא
$4.2K נפח עוד 7 ימים
US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday? US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?
77%
סיכוי
כן לא
$4.4K נפח מסתיים היום
Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?
December 31, 202610%
June 30, 202729%
$43.4K נפח 01/07
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?
554%כןלא
618%כןלא
$11.9K נפח 03/11
Who will Trump speak to in August?Who will Trump speak to in August?
Friedrich MerzFriedrich Merz52%כןלא
Andy BurnhamAndy Burnham48%כןלא
$2.4K נפח 31/08
Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by Aug 28? Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by Aug 28?
30%
סיכוי
כן לא
$3.3K נפח עוד 5 ימים
Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?
September 3086%כןלא
September 1581%כןלא
$2.3K נפח 01/10
Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?
July 171%
December 3128%
$188.8K נפח 01/01
How many House seats will the Democrats win in California?How many House seats will the Democrats win in California?
4863%כןלא
4718%כןלא
$7.1K נפח 03/11
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
3.75%43%כןלא
4.0%32%כןלא
$6.8M נפח 09/12
Trump meets with Putin by...?Trump meets with Putin by...?
December 3146%כןלא
September 302%כןלא
$152K נפח 01/01
What will Trump post this week? (August 24 - August 30)What will Trump post this week? (August 24 - August 30)
Communist / Communism91%כןלא
Crime91%כןלא
$2K נפח עוד 7 ימים
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 25 - September 1, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 25 - September 1, 2026?
200+53%כןלא
180-19925%כןלא
$11.4K נפח 01/09
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 3117%כןלא
October 318%כןלא
$1.1M נפח 31/12
Who will Trump publicly praise in August?Who will Trump publicly praise in August?
Xi JinpingXi Jinping54%כןלא
Doug FordDoug Ford44%כןלא
$1.5K נפח 31/08
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?
200+61%כןלא
180-19919%כןלא
$11.4K נפח עוד 5 ימים
Weed rescheduled by...?Weed rescheduled by...?
December 3118%כןלא
September 3016%כןלא
$1.3K נפח 01/01
האם Kash Patel יודח מתפקידו עד...?האם Kash Patel יודח מתפקידו עד...?
December 3125%כןלא
September 308%כןלא
$1.7M נפח 01/01
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31? Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31?
2%
סיכוי
כן לא
$1.7K נפח 31/08
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
IrelandIreland98%כןלא
גרמניהגרמניה39%כןלא
$1.2K נפח 31/12
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Ryan SalameRyan Salame23%כןלא
Matt GaetzMatt Gaetz21%כןלא
$428.5K נפח 31/12
When will Trump announce a new White House Press Secretary?When will Trump announce a new White House Press Secretary?
September 3063%כןלא
September 1132%כןלא
$57K נפח 01/10
Netanyahu arrested by…?Netanyahu arrested by…?
December 316%כןלא
September 302%כןלא
$22.3K נפח 01/01
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
December 313%כןלא
August 311%כןלא
$6.3M נפח 01/01
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027No meeting before 202794%כןלא
שווייץשווייץ3%כןלא
$988 נפח 31/12
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
6%
סיכוי
כן לא
$64.7K נפח 31/12
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
December 3128%כןלא
September 307%כןלא
$6.4M נפח 01/01
Will Trump launch a coin by ___?Will Trump launch a coin by ___?
December 31, 202618%
March 31, 20266%
$89K נפח 01/01
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
17%
סיכוי
כן לא
$839 נפח 31/12
How many House seats will the Democrats win in South Carolina?How many House seats will the Democrats win in South Carolina?
173%כןלא
221%כןלא
$3.9K נפח 03/11
How many House seats will the Democrats win in North Carolina?How many House seats will the Democrats win in North Carolina?
433%כןלא
533%כןלא
$6.1K נפח 03/11
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 313%כןלא
June 263%כןלא
$1.6M נפח 01/09
Which companies will the US take a stake in?Which companies will the US take a stake in?
GlobalFoundries89%כןלא
Rigetti77%כןלא
$173K נפח 31/12
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Cuban regime falls in 2026?
13%
סיכוי
כן לא
$1.6M נפח 31/12
Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?
Kaitlan CollinsKaitlan Collins29%כןלא
Jimmy KimmelJimmy Kimmel25%כןלא
$588 נפח 31/08
Insurrection Act invoked by...?Insurrection Act invoked by...?
December 3115%כןלא
September 302%כןלא
$1.1M נפח 01/01
US strike on Mexico by...?US strike on Mexico by...?
December 3112%כןלא
January 311%כןלא
$3.4M נפח 01/01
Maduro Prison Time?Maduro Prison Time?
No prison time39%כןלא
60+33%כןלא
$676.4K נפח 31/12
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
7%
סיכוי
כן לא
$10.6M נפח 31/12
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by August 31?Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by August 31?
Nick Stewart4%כןלא
Mojtaba Khamenei3%כןלא
$16.9K נפח 31/08
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?
October 3171%כןלא
September 3063%כןלא
$454 נפח 01/11
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
50%
סיכוי
כן לא
$306.9K נפח 31/12
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
India18%כןלא
Israel16%כןלא
$414 נפח 31/12
Trump approval rating on August 28?Trump approval rating on August 28?
38.0–38.435%כןלא
37.5–37.932%כןלא
$408 נפח עוד 5 ימים
איראן תסכים להפסיק את העשרת האורניום עד 30 בספטמבר? איראן תסכים להפסיק את העשרת האורניום עד 30 בספטמבר?
4%
סיכוי
כן לא
$22.4K נפח 30/09
How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
35%35%25%כןלא
30%30%6%כןלא
$386 נפח 31/12
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Pennsylvania?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Pennsylvania?
930%כןלא
1025%כןלא
$9.6K נפח 03/11
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Wisconsin?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Wisconsin?
342%כןלא
226%כןלא
$4.7K נפח 03/11
Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election? Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?
No Endorsement65%כןלא
Likud31%כןלא
$29.3K נפח 28/10
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Alabama?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Alabama?
172%כןלא
223%כןלא
$4.4K נפח 03/11
FDA moves BPC-157 to Category 1 by…?FDA moves BPC-157 to Category 1 by…?
August 31, 202612%
December 31, 202648%
$3.3K נפח 01/01
Will Trump pardon anyone by...?Will Trump pardon anyone by...?
October 3172%כןלא
September 3066%כןלא
$309 נפח 01/11
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Nevada?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Nevada?
349%כןלא
421%כןלא
$3.4K נפח 03/11
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
96%
סיכוי
כן לא
$364.2K נפח 31/12
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Florida?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Florida?
416%כןלא
12+14%כןלא
$3.8K נפח 03/11
Heidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by...?Heidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by...?
December 3164%כןלא
November 3036%כןלא
$14.7K נפח 01/01
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Michigan?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Michigan?
854%כןלא
921%כןלא
$10.5K נפח 03/11
How many House seats will the Democrats win in New York?How many House seats will the Democrats win in New York?
2033%כןלא
1933%כןלא
$5.5K נפח 03/11
טען עוד בפולימרקט ←

רוצה לסחור בשווקי טראמפ?

פתח חשבון בפולימרקט והתחל לסחור עוד היום

פתח חשבון בפולימרקט

שאלות נפוצות על שווקי טראמפ

אילו שווקי טראמפ פעילים כעת?

משרה שנתי, הצלחת תוכנית מדיניות ספציפית, משפטים והליכים, תוצאות מו"מ בינלאומי, והחלטות מינוי בכירים.

מה מזיז את המחירים?

הצהרות טראמפ (במיוחד Truth Social), הודעות רשמיות מהבית הלבן, פסקי דין, ופעולות קונגרס. התגובה מהירה מאוד.

איך מנהלים סיכון בשווקי טראמפ?

תנודתיות גבוהה: בנו פוזיציות הדרגתית, הימנעו מריכוז יתר בשוק יחיד, ועקבו אחר עומק ספר הפקודות לפני כניסה.

התחל אימון פולימרקט חינם
סחר בשווקי תחזיות עם כסף וירטואלי. מחירים אמיתיים, אפס סיכון. התחרה בטבלת המובילים.
$1K
כסף וירטואלי
500+
שווקים
$0
סיכון אמיתי
פרטים נוספים
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