Trump Tahmin Pazarları

Trump tahmin pazarları, Polymarket'in en aktif olanları arasında: görev süresi, hukuki süreçler, dış politika (Ukrayna, Çin, Orta Doğu), iç politika ve genel onay. Hacimler yüz milyonlarca doları aşmaktadır.

Bu pazarlar, her büyük açıklamaya güçlü bir şekilde tepki verir, Truth Social, röportajlar veya Beyaz Saray duyuruları aracılığıyla. Gerçek zamanlı haber kapsamı ticaret fırsatları yaratır.

100 aktif pazar
Sırala
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
18%
şans
Evet Hayır
$9,9 milyon Hacim 01/01
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
December 3172%EvetHayır
October 3151%EvetHayır
$19,5 milyon Hacim 01/01
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 22August 2299%EvetHayır
August 25August 2599%EvetHayır
$2,7 milyon Hacim 30/09
İran rejimi 2027 öncesi düşer mi? İran rejimi 2027 öncesi düşer mi?
8%
şans
Evet Hayır
$394,8 bin Hacim 31/12
ABD, 2027'den önce İran'a saldıracak mı? ABD, 2027'den önce İran'a saldıracak mı?
17%
şans
Evet Hayır
$233,8 bin Hacim 31/12
ABD-İran barış görüşmelerinin bir sonraki turu ne zaman...?ABD-İran barış görüşmelerinin bir sonraki turu ne zaman...?
March 31, 202769%EvetHayır
December 31, 202653%EvetHayır
$113,2 bin Hacim 01/04
NATO x Russia military clash by...?NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 3125%EvetHayır
October 3114%EvetHayır
$6 milyon Hacim 01/01
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
August 2499%EvetHayır
August 3192%EvetHayır
$39 bin Hacim 01/09
Ekim Fed kararı?Ekim Fed kararı?
No change72%EvetHayır
25 bps increase25%EvetHayır
$2,1 milyon Hacim 28/10
Russia nuclear test by...?Russia nuclear test by...?
December 31, 2026December 31, 20266%EvetHayır
September 30, 2026September 30, 20261%EvetHayır
$6,2 milyon Hacim 01/01
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
September 3016%EvetHayır
September 158%EvetHayır
$674,1 bin Hacim 01/10
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
ChinaChina54%EvetHayır
No meeting by December 31No meeting by December 3145%EvetHayır
$25,4 bin Hacim 31/12
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
July 314%
August 314%
$275,8 bin Hacim 01/09
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Mohammad Bagher GhalibafMohammad Bagher Ghalibaf41%EvetHayır
Steve WitkoffSteve Witkoff37%EvetHayır
$24,4 bin Hacim 31/12
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
September 3040%EvetHayır
August 3110%EvetHayır
$917,3 bin Hacim 01/10
İran 31 Aralık tarihine kadar uranyum zenginleştirmeyi durdurmayı kabul eder mi? İran 31 Aralık tarihine kadar uranyum zenginleştirmeyi durdurmayı kabul eder mi?
14%
şans
Evet Hayır
$22,1 bin Hacim 31/12
US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday? US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?
97%
şans
Evet Hayır
$22,5 bin Hacim Bugün bitiyor
Trump out as President by August 31? Trump out as President by August 31?
1%
şans
Evet Hayır
$32,4 bin Hacim 31/08
ABD-İran barış görüşmelerinin bir sonraki turu nerede olacak...?ABD-İran barış görüşmelerinin bir sonraki turu nerede olacak...?
30 Eylül'e kadar toplantı yok74%EvetHayır
İsviçre10%EvetHayır
$17,6 bin Hacim 30/09
Trump out as President before 2027? Trump out as President before 2027?
7%
şans
Evet Hayır
$32,4 bin Hacim 31/12
Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?
Spencer PrattSpencer Pratt40%EvetHayır
Lara TrumpLara Trump40%EvetHayır
$151,8 bin Hacim 31/12
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
AlibabaAlibaba22%EvetHayır
CATLCATL19%EvetHayır
$186,9 bin Hacim 30/06
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?
200+99%EvetHayır
180-19911%EvetHayır
$16,5 bin Hacim Bugün bitiyor
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Mohammed bin SalmanMohammed bin Salman77%EvetHayır
Vladimir PutinVladimir Putin48%EvetHayır
$14,6 bin Hacim 31/12
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
4%
şans
Evet Hayır
$10,4 bin Hacim 31/12
What will Trump say during Rose Garden event?What will Trump say during Rose Garden event?
College99%EvetHayır
Transgender99%EvetHayır
$8,1 bin Hacim Bugün bitiyor
What will Trump say this week? (August 24 - August 30)What will Trump say this week? (August 24 - August 30)
Karoline / Leavitt99%EvetHayır
Transgender99%EvetHayır
$9,1 bin Hacim 7 gün kaldı
What will Scott Bessent say during press conference?What will Scott Bessent say during press conference?
Regime99%EvetHayır
Secondary99%EvetHayır
$7,4 bin Hacim Bugün bitiyor
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
86%
şans
Evet Hayır
$7,2 bin Hacim 31/12
Xi Jinping 2027'den önce ABD'yi ziyaret edecek mi?Xi Jinping 2027'den önce ABD'yi ziyaret edecek mi?
December 3197%EvetHayır
October 3196%EvetHayır
$739,9 bin Hacim 31/12
Venezuela leader end of 2026?Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro85%EvetHayır
Delcy Rodríguez10%EvetHayır
$95,8 milyon Hacim 31/12
Aralık Fed kararı?Aralık Fed kararı?
No change61%EvetHayır
25 bps increase29%EvetHayır
$2,1 milyon Hacim 09/12
What will JD Vance say during remarks in Maine?What will JD Vance say during remarks in Maine?
Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime99%EvetHayır
Ass29%EvetHayır
$4,3 bin Hacim Bugün bitiyor
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
≤4727%EvetHayır
4914%EvetHayır
$2,9 milyon Hacim 03/11
Who will Trump meet with in August?Who will Trump meet with in August?
Elon MuskElon Musk13%EvetHayır
Giorgia MeloniGiorgia Meloni3%EvetHayır
$14,6 bin Hacim 31/08
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
6%
şans
Evet Hayır
$260,1 bin Hacim 31/12
Ocak Fed kararı?Ocak Fed kararı?
No change61%EvetHayır
25 bps increase22%EvetHayır
$2,1 milyon Hacim 27/01
Who will be arrested before 2027?Who will be arrested before 2027?
Mahmoud Khalil31%EvetHayır
John Brennan18%EvetHayır
$389 bin Hacim
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?
1220%EvetHayır
1019%EvetHayır
$10,5 bin Hacim 03/11
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 316%EvetHayır
September 302%EvetHayır
$29,1 milyon Hacim 01/01
What will Trump say in August?What will Trump say in August?
Thomas Jefferson53%EvetHayır
Movie Star52%EvetHayır
$3,3 bin Hacim 31/08
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?
30+5%EvetHayır
40+2%EvetHayır
$3,2 bin Hacim 31/08
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?
200+82%EvetHayır
180-19912%EvetHayır
$16,5 bin Hacim 4 gün kaldı
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
June 30, 202756%EvetHayır
March 31, 202744%EvetHayır
$6 milyon Hacim 01/07
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?
554%EvetHayır
618%EvetHayır
$12 bin Hacim 03/11
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
Iran 5+ times64%EvetHayır
Alien63%EvetHayır
$2,4 bin Hacim 31/08
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 25 - September 1, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 25 - September 1, 2026?
200+38%EvetHayır
180-19926%EvetHayır
$16,5 bin Hacim 01/09
Who will Trump speak to in August?Who will Trump speak to in August?
Friedrich MerzFriedrich Merz52%EvetHayır
Elon MuskElon Musk44%EvetHayır
$2,3 bin Hacim 31/08
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
December 3117%EvetHayır
June 301%EvetHayır
$2,1 milyon Hacim 01/01
Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?
September 3085%EvetHayır
September 1578%EvetHayır
$2,4 bin Hacim 01/10
Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?
July 171%
December 3125%
$189,1 bin Hacim 01/01
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
53%
şans
Evet Hayır
$308,5 bin Hacim 31/12
What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?
Good Morning79%EvetHayır
Productivity77%EvetHayır
$45,8 bin Hacim 5 gün kaldı
Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?
December 31, 202610%
June 30, 202726%
$43,4 bin Hacim 01/07
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
1%
şans
Evet Hayır
$109,1 bin Hacim 31/12
Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by Aug 28? Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by Aug 28?
22%
şans
Evet Hayır
$3,6 bin Hacim 5 gün kaldı
How many House seats will the Democrats win in California?How many House seats will the Democrats win in California?
4863%EvetHayır
4717%EvetHayır
$7,2 bin Hacim 03/11
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 3117%EvetHayır
October 318%EvetHayır
$1,1 milyon Hacim 31/12
When will Trump announce a new White House Press Secretary?When will Trump announce a new White House Press Secretary?
September 3063%EvetHayır
September 1132%EvetHayır
$57,5 bin Hacim 01/10
Who will Trump publicly praise in August?Who will Trump publicly praise in August?
Xi JinpingXi Jinping72%EvetHayır
Delcy RodriguezDelcy Rodriguez58%EvetHayır
$1,5 bin Hacim 31/08
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?
December 31, 20265%
June 30, 202711%
$26,1 bin Hacim 01/07
What will Trump post this week? (August 24 - August 30)What will Trump post this week? (August 24 - August 30)
China99%EvetHayır
Communist / Communism91%EvetHayır
$1,8 bin Hacim 7 gün kaldı
Weed rescheduled by...?Weed rescheduled by...?
December 3121%EvetHayır
September 3020%EvetHayır
$1,4 bin Hacim 01/01
What will Trump say during Tele-Rallies on August 24?What will Trump say during Tele-Rallies on August 24?
State 5+ times94%EvetHayır
Border 3+ times91%EvetHayır
$1,4 bin Hacim Bugün bitiyor
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31? Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31?
2%
şans
Evet Hayır
$1,6 bin Hacim 31/08
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
IrelandIreland98%EvetHayır
AlmanyaAlmanya40%EvetHayır
$1,2 bin Hacim 31/12
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
3.75%45%EvetHayır
4.0%31%EvetHayır
$6,8 milyon Hacim 09/12
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?
285M56%EvetHayır
270M1%EvetHayır
$59,4 bin Hacim 09/09
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Ryan SalameRyan Salame23%EvetHayır
Matt GaetzMatt Gaetz21%EvetHayır
$428,5 bin Hacim 31/12
Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?
Candace OwensCandace Owens28%EvetHayır
Kaitlan CollinsKaitlan Collins28%EvetHayır
$1,1 bin Hacim 31/08
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
December 313%EvetHayır
August 311%EvetHayır
$6,3 milyon Hacim 01/01
Netanyahu arrested by…?Netanyahu arrested by…?
December 316%EvetHayır
September 302%EvetHayır
$22,3 bin Hacim 01/01
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
6%
şans
Evet Hayır
$64,7 bin Hacim 31/12
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?
December 31, 202620%
June 30, 20262%
$55,5 bin Hacim 01/01
Trump meets with Putin by...?Trump meets with Putin by...?
December 3149%EvetHayır
September 303%EvetHayır
$152,2 bin Hacim 01/01
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
16%
şans
Evet Hayır
$798 Hacim 31/12
Trump approval rating on August 28?Trump approval rating on August 28?
38.0–38.435%EvetHayır
37.5–37.929%EvetHayır
$794 Hacim 5 gün kaldı
How many House seats will the Democrats win in South Carolina?How many House seats will the Democrats win in South Carolina?
173%EvetHayır
221%EvetHayır
$3,9 bin Hacim 03/11
How many House seats will the Democrats win in North Carolina?How many House seats will the Democrats win in North Carolina?
433%EvetHayır
533%EvetHayır
$6,1 bin Hacim 03/11
Will Trump launch a coin by ___?Will Trump launch a coin by ___?
December 31, 202619%
March 31, 20266%
$89 bin Hacim 01/01
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Cuban regime falls in 2026?
13%
şans
Evet Hayır
$1,6 milyon Hacim 31/12
Which companies will the US take a stake in?Which companies will the US take a stake in?
GlobalFoundries89%EvetHayır
Rigetti77%EvetHayır
$173,1 bin Hacim 31/12
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
October 3150%EvetHayır
December 3150%EvetHayır
$2,9 milyon Hacim 01/01
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
December 3128%EvetHayır
September 307%EvetHayır
$6,4 milyon Hacim 01/01
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027No meeting before 202794%EvetHayır
İsviçreİsviçre3%EvetHayır
$571 Hacim 31/12
US strike on Mexico by...?US strike on Mexico by...?
December 3112%EvetHayır
January 311%EvetHayır
$3,4 milyon Hacim 01/01
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
2%
şans
Evet Hayır
$547 Hacim 31/12
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
India20%EvetHayır
Kanada19%EvetHayır
$504 Hacim 31/12
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
7%
şans
Evet Hayır
$10,6 milyon Hacim 31/12
Maduro Prison Time?Maduro Prison Time?
No prison time39%EvetHayır
60+33%EvetHayır
$676,4 bin Hacim 31/12
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?
August 31, 20261%
December 31, 202611%
$494 Hacim 01/01
İran, ... tarihine kadar zenginleştirilmiş uranyum stoğunu teslim etmeyi kabul ediyor mu...?İran, ... tarihine kadar zenginleştirilmiş uranyum stoğunu teslim etmeyi kabul ediyor mu...?
31 Aralık8%EvetHayır
31 Ekim3%EvetHayır
$17,8 milyon Hacim 01/01
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?
December 31, 202629%EvetHayır
August 31, 20263%EvetHayır
$87,4 bin Hacim 01/01
FDA moves BPC-157 to Category 1 by…?FDA moves BPC-157 to Category 1 by…?
August 31, 202610%
December 31, 202647%
$3,4 bin Hacim 01/01
Kash Patel ...tarihine kadar görevden ayrılır mı?Kash Patel ...tarihine kadar görevden ayrılır mı?
December 3124%EvetHayır
September 308%EvetHayır
$1,7 milyon Hacim 01/01
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 313%EvetHayır
June 263%EvetHayır
$1,6 milyon Hacim 01/09
How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
35%35%25%EvetHayır
30%30%6%EvetHayır
$380 Hacim 31/12
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Wisconsin?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Wisconsin?
342%EvetHayır
226%EvetHayır
$4,7 bin Hacim 03/11
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31? Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?
16%
şans
Evet Hayır
$7,4 bin Hacim 7 gün kaldı
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
67%
şans
Evet Hayır
$419 Hacim 20/01
Polymarket'te daha fazla yükle →

Trump pazarlarında işlem yapmak ister misiniz?

Polymarket hesabı açın ve bugün işlem yapmaya başlayın

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Trump Pazarları SSS

Şu anda hangi Trump pazarları aktif?

Yıllık onay, belirli politika sonuçları, hukuki süreçler, uluslararası müzakere sonuçları ve üst düzey atama kararları.

Fiyatları ne hareket ettirir?

Trump açıklamaları (özellikle Truth Social), resmi Beyaz Saray duyuruları, mahkeme kararları ve Kongre eylemleri. Tepkiler çok hızlıdır.

Trump pazarlarında riski nasıl yönetirim?

Yüksek volatilite: pozisyonları kademeli olarak oluşturun, tek bir pazara aşırı yoğunlaşmaktan kaçının ve girmeden önce emir defteri derinliğini kontrol edin.

Polymarket Eğitimini Ücretsiz Başlat
Sanal parayla tahmin piyasalarında işlem yapın. Gerçek fiyatlar, sıfır risk. Sıralamada yarışın.
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500+
Piyasalar
$0
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