Trump-voorspellingsmarkten

Trump-voorspellingsmarkten behoren tot de actiefste van Polymarket: ambtstermijn, rechtszaken, buitenlands beleid (Oekraïne, China, Midden-Oosten), binnenlands beleid en algemene goedkeuring. De volumes overschrijden honderden miljoenen dollars.

Deze markten reageren sterk op elke belangrijke uitspraak, via Truth Social, interviews of aankondigingen van het Witte Huis. Realtime nieuwsdekking creëert handelskansen.

100 actieve markten
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Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
18%
kans
Ja Nee
$9,8 mln. Volume 01/01
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 22August 2299%JaNee
August 25August 2599%JaNee
$2,7 mln. Volume 30/09
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
December 3173%JaNee
October 3152%JaNee
$19,5 mln. Volume 01/01
Valt het Iraanse regime vóór 2027? Valt het Iraanse regime vóór 2027?
8%
kans
Ja Nee
$401K Volume 31/12
Zal de VS Iran binnenvallen voor 2027? Zal de VS Iran binnenvallen voor 2027?
17%
kans
Ja Nee
$233,9K Volume 31/12
Volgende ronde van vredesgesprekken VS-Iran tot...?Volgende ronde van vredesgesprekken VS-Iran tot...?
March 31, 202767%JaNee
December 31, 202653%JaNee
$98,7K Volume 01/04
Russia nuclear test by...?Russia nuclear test by...?
December 31, 2026December 31, 20266%JaNee
September 30, 2026September 30, 20261%JaNee
$6,2 mln. Volume 01/01
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
August 2496%JaNee
August 2893%JaNee
$35,3K Volume 01/09
Fed-besluit in oktober?Fed-besluit in oktober?
No change72%JaNee
25 bps increase25%JaNee
$2 mln. Volume 28/10
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
September 3016%JaNee
September 158%JaNee
$673,3K Volume 01/10
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
July 314%
August 314%
$275,4K Volume 01/09
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Mohammad Bagher GhalibafMohammad Bagher Ghalibaf41%JaNee
Steve WitkoffSteve Witkoff37%JaNee
$24,4K Volume 31/12
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
September 3040%JaNee
August 3110%JaNee
$917,2K Volume 01/10
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
ChinaChina53%JaNee
No meeting by December 31No meeting by December 3147%JaNee
$23,3K Volume 31/12
Stemt Iran vóór 31 december in met het stoppen van uraniumverrijking? Stemt Iran vóór 31 december in met het stoppen van uraniumverrijking?
14%
kans
Ja Nee
$22,1K Volume 31/12
NATO x Russia military clash by...?NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 3124%JaNee
October 3115%JaNee
$5,9 mln. Volume 01/01
US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday? US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?
96%
kans
Ja Nee
$20,5K Volume Eindigt vandaag
Waar zal de volgende ronde van vredesgesprekken VS-Iran plaatsvinden tot...?Waar zal de volgende ronde van vredesgesprekken VS-Iran plaatsvinden tot...?
Geen vergadering voor 30 september74%JaNee
Zwitserland10%JaNee
$17,6K Volume 30/09
Trump out as President by August 31? Trump out as President by August 31?
1%
kans
Ja Nee
$32,2K Volume 31/08
Trump out as President before 2027? Trump out as President before 2027?
7%
kans
Ja Nee
$32,2K Volume 31/12
Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?
Scott JenningsScott Jennings28%JaNee
Anna KellyAnna Kelly17%JaNee
$149,9K Volume 31/12
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?
200+99%JaNee
180-19911%JaNee
$16,5K Volume Eindigt vandaag
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
AlibabaAlibaba22%JaNee
CATLCATL19%JaNee
$186,9K Volume 30/06
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Mohammed bin SalmanMohammed bin Salman77%JaNee
Vladimir PutinVladimir Putin48%JaNee
$15,6K Volume 31/12
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
4%
kans
Ja Nee
$7,5K Volume 31/12
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
86%
kans
Ja Nee
$7,2K Volume 31/12
Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?
December 3197%JaNee
October 3196%JaNee
$739,7K Volume 31/12
What will Scott Bessent say during press conference?What will Scott Bessent say during press conference?
Secondary99%JaNee
Facilitator / Facilitate / Facilitates99%JaNee
$6,1K Volume Eindigt vandaag
Venezuela leader end of 2026?Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro85%JaNee
Delcy Rodríguez10%JaNee
$95,8 mln. Volume 31/12
Who will Trump meet with in August?Who will Trump meet with in August?
Elon MuskElon Musk11%JaNee
Giorgia MeloniGiorgia Meloni3%JaNee
$15,6K Volume 31/08
Fed-besluit in december?Fed-besluit in december?
No change61%JaNee
25 bps increase29%JaNee
$2 mln. Volume 09/12
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
≤4727%JaNee
4914%JaNee
$2,9 mln. Volume 03/11
What will JD Vance say during remarks in Maine?What will JD Vance say during remarks in Maine?
Trump 10+ times99%JaNee
Border 5+ times99%JaNee
$4,1K Volume Eindigt vandaag
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
6%
kans
Ja Nee
$260,1K Volume 31/12
What will Trump say this week? (August 24 - August 30)What will Trump say this week? (August 24 - August 30)
God90%JaNee
Boom / Booming80%JaNee
$5,4K Volume Nog 7 dagen
Fed-besluit in januari?Fed-besluit in januari?
No change61%JaNee
25 bps increase22%JaNee
$2 mln. Volume 27/01
Who will be arrested before 2027?Who will be arrested before 2027?
Mahmoud Khalil29%JaNee
John Brennan18%JaNee
$389K Volume
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?
1220%JaNee
1019%JaNee
$10,5K Volume 03/11
What will Trump say during Rose Garden event?What will Trump say during Rose Garden event?
Child / Children 5+ times88%JaNee
College87%JaNee
$3,5K Volume Eindigt vandaag
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 316%JaNee
September 302%JaNee
$29,1 mln. Volume 01/01
What will Trump say in August?What will Trump say in August?
Movie Star52%JaNee
Thomas Jefferson52%JaNee
$3,3K Volume 31/08
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?
30+5%JaNee
40+2%JaNee
$3,2K Volume 31/08
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?
200+74%JaNee
180-19920%JaNee
$16,5K Volume Nog 4 dagen
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
June 30, 202756%JaNee
March 31, 202744%JaNee
$6 mln. Volume 01/07
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
Iran 5+ times65%JaNee
Alien60%JaNee
$2,5K Volume 31/08
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?
555%JaNee
618%JaNee
$12K Volume 03/11
Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?
September 3086%JaNee
September 1578%JaNee
$2,5K Volume 01/10
Who will Trump speak to in August?Who will Trump speak to in August?
Friedrich MerzFriedrich Merz52%JaNee
Elon MuskElon Musk44%JaNee
$2,2K Volume 31/08
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 25 - September 1, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 25 - September 1, 2026?
200+44%JaNee
180-19926%JaNee
$16,5K Volume 01/09
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
52%
kans
Ja Nee
$308,5K Volume 31/12
What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?
Good Morning79%JaNee
Productivity77%JaNee
$45,8K Volume Nog 5 dagen
Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?
December 31, 202610%
June 30, 202728%
$43,4K Volume 01/07
Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by Aug 28? Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by Aug 28?
21%
kans
Ja Nee
$3,6K Volume Nog 5 dagen
Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?
July 171%
December 3126%
$188,8K Volume 01/01
How many House seats will the Democrats win in California?How many House seats will the Democrats win in California?
4863%JaNee
4717%JaNee
$7,2K Volume 03/11
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 3117%JaNee
October 318%JaNee
$1,1 mln. Volume 31/12
What will Trump post this week? (August 24 - August 30)What will Trump post this week? (August 24 - August 30)
China99%JaNee
Communist / Communism91%JaNee
$1,9K Volume Nog 7 dagen
Who will Trump publicly praise in August?Who will Trump publicly praise in August?
Xi JinpingXi Jinping74%JaNee
Delcy RodriguezDelcy Rodriguez58%JaNee
$1,5K Volume 31/08
When will Trump announce a new White House Press Secretary?When will Trump announce a new White House Press Secretary?
September 3063%JaNee
September 1132%JaNee
$57,5K Volume 01/10
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?
December 31, 20265%
June 30, 202711%
$26,1K Volume 01/07
Weed rescheduled by...?Weed rescheduled by...?
December 3118%JaNee
September 3016%JaNee
$1,4K Volume 01/01
Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?
Candace OwensCandace Owens28%JaNee
Kaitlan CollinsKaitlan Collins27%JaNee
$1,3K Volume 31/08
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31? Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31?
2%
kans
Ja Nee
$1,6K Volume 31/08
Kash Patel vóór... uit functie?Kash Patel vóór... uit functie?
December 3125%JaNee
September 308%JaNee
$1,7 mln. Volume 01/01
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
IrelandIreland98%JaNee
DuitslandDuitsland40%JaNee
$1,2K Volume 31/12
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
3.75%44%JaNee
4.0%31%JaNee
$6,8 mln. Volume 09/12
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?
285M56%JaNee
270M1%JaNee
$59,4K Volume 09/09
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Ryan SalameRyan Salame23%JaNee
Matt GaetzMatt Gaetz21%JaNee
$428,5K Volume 31/12
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
December 313%JaNee
August 311%JaNee
$6,3 mln. Volume 01/01
Netanyahu arrested by…?Netanyahu arrested by…?
December 316%JaNee
September 302%JaNee
$22,3K Volume 01/01
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
6%
kans
Ja Nee
$64,7K Volume 31/12
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?
December 31, 202620%
June 30, 20262%
$55,5K Volume 01/01
Trump meets with Putin by...?Trump meets with Putin by...?
December 3149%JaNee
September 302%JaNee
$152,2K Volume 01/01
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
16%
kans
Ja Nee
$798 Volume 31/12
Trump approval rating on August 28?Trump approval rating on August 28?
38.0–38.435%JaNee
37.5–37.929%JaNee
$794 Volume Nog 5 dagen
How many House seats will the Democrats win in South Carolina?How many House seats will the Democrats win in South Carolina?
173%JaNee
221%JaNee
$3,9K Volume 03/11
How many House seats will the Democrats win in North Carolina?How many House seats will the Democrats win in North Carolina?
433%JaNee
532%JaNee
$6,1K Volume 03/11
Will Trump launch a coin by ___?Will Trump launch a coin by ___?
December 31, 202619%
March 31, 20266%
$89K Volume 01/01
What will Trump say during Tele-Rallies on August 24?What will Trump say during Tele-Rallies on August 24?
State 5+ times94%JaNee
Border 3+ times91%JaNee
$656 Volume Eindigt vandaag
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Cuban regime falls in 2026?
13%
kans
Ja Nee
$1,6 mln. Volume 31/12
Which companies will the US take a stake in?Which companies will the US take a stake in?
GlobalFoundries89%JaNee
Rigetti81%JaNee
$173,1K Volume 31/12
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
October 3150%JaNee
December 3150%JaNee
$2,9 mln. Volume 01/01
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027No meeting before 202794%JaNee
ZwitserlandZwitserland3%JaNee
$578 Volume 31/12
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
December 3128%JaNee
September 307%JaNee
$6,4 mln. Volume 01/01
US strike on Mexico by...?US strike on Mexico by...?
December 3112%JaNee
January 311%JaNee
$3,4 mln. Volume 01/01
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
2%
kans
Ja Nee
$547 Volume 31/12
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
India20%JaNee
Canada18%JaNee
$504 Volume 31/12
Maduro Prison Time?Maduro Prison Time?
No prison time39%JaNee
60+33%JaNee
$676,4K Volume 31/12
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
7%
kans
Ja Nee
$10,6 mln. Volume 31/12
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?
December 31, 202629%JaNee
August 31, 20263%JaNee
$87,4K Volume 01/01
Iran stemt in met overgave van verrijkt uranium tot...?Iran stemt in met overgave van verrijkt uranium tot...?
31 december8%JaNee
31 oktober3%JaNee
$17,8 mln. Volume 01/01
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?
August 31, 20261%
December 31, 202610%
$409 Volume 01/01
FDA moves BPC-157 to Category 1 by…?FDA moves BPC-157 to Category 1 by…?
August 31, 202610%
December 31, 202647%
$3,4K Volume 01/01
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 313%JaNee
June 263%JaNee
$1,6 mln. Volume 01/09
How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
35%35%25%JaNee
30%30%6%JaNee
$380 Volume 31/12
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Wisconsin?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Wisconsin?
342%JaNee
226%JaNee
$4,7K Volume 03/11
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31? Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?
20%
kans
Ja Nee
$7,4K Volume Nog 7 dagen
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
67%
kans
Ja Nee
$419 Volume 20/01
Fed abolished before 2027? Fed abolished before 2027?
5%
kans
Ja Nee
$352 Volume 31/12
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?
October 3172%JaNee
September 3064%JaNee
$347 Volume 01/11
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