Rynki predykcyjne Trumpa

Rynki predykcyjne Trumpa należą do najbardziej aktywnych na Polymarket: kadencja, postępowania prawne, polityka zagraniczna (Ukraina, Chiny, Bliski Wschód), polityka wewnętrzna i ogólne poparcie. Wolumeny przekraczają setki milionów dolarów.

Rynki te silnie reagują na każdą ważną wypowiedź, poprzez Truth Social, wywiady lub komunikaty Białego Domu. Relacje na żywo tworzą okazje handlowe.

100 aktywnych rynków
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Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
18%
szansa
Tak Nie
$9,9 mln Wolumen 01/01
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
December 3172%TakNie
October 3151%TakNie
$19,5 mln Wolumen 01/01
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 22August 2299%TakNie
August 25August 2599%TakNie
$2,7 mln Wolumen 30/09
Czy reżim irański upadnie przed 2027? Czy reżim irański upadnie przed 2027?
8%
szansa
Tak Nie
$394,8 tys. Wolumen 31/12
Czy USA zaatakują Iran przed 2027 rokiem? Czy USA zaatakują Iran przed 2027 rokiem?
17%
szansa
Tak Nie
$233,8 tys. Wolumen 31/12
Następna runda rozmów pokojowych USA-Iran do...?Następna runda rozmów pokojowych USA-Iran do...?
March 31, 202769%TakNie
December 31, 202653%TakNie
$113,2 tys. Wolumen 01/04
NATO x Russia military clash by...?NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 3125%TakNie
October 3114%TakNie
$6 mln Wolumen 01/01
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
August 2499%TakNie
August 3192%TakNie
$39 tys. Wolumen 01/09
Decyzja Fed w października?Decyzja Fed w października?
No change72%TakNie
25 bps increase25%TakNie
$2,1 mln Wolumen 28/10
Russia nuclear test by...?Russia nuclear test by...?
December 31, 2026December 31, 20266%TakNie
September 30, 2026September 30, 20261%TakNie
$6,2 mln Wolumen 01/01
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
September 3016%TakNie
September 158%TakNie
$674,1 tys. Wolumen 01/10
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
ChinaChina54%TakNie
No meeting by December 31No meeting by December 3145%TakNie
$25,4 tys. Wolumen 31/12
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
July 314%
August 314%
$275,8 tys. Wolumen 01/09
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Mohammad Bagher GhalibafMohammad Bagher Ghalibaf41%TakNie
Steve WitkoffSteve Witkoff37%TakNie
$24,4 tys. Wolumen 31/12
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
September 3040%TakNie
August 3110%TakNie
$917,3 tys. Wolumen 01/10
Czy Iran zgodzi się zakończyć wzbogacanie uranu do 31 grudnia? Czy Iran zgodzi się zakończyć wzbogacanie uranu do 31 grudnia?
14%
szansa
Tak Nie
$22,1 tys. Wolumen 31/12
US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday? US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?
97%
szansa
Tak Nie
$22,5 tys. Wolumen Kończy się dzisiaj
Trump out as President by August 31? Trump out as President by August 31?
1%
szansa
Tak Nie
$32,4 tys. Wolumen 31/08
Gdzie odbędzie się następna runda rozmów pokojowych USA-Iran do...?Gdzie odbędzie się następna runda rozmów pokojowych USA-Iran do...?
Brak spotkania do 30 września74%TakNie
Szwajcaria10%TakNie
$17,6 tys. Wolumen 30/09
Trump out as President before 2027? Trump out as President before 2027?
7%
szansa
Tak Nie
$32,4 tys. Wolumen 31/12
Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?
Spencer PrattSpencer Pratt40%TakNie
Lara TrumpLara Trump40%TakNie
$151,8 tys. Wolumen 31/12
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
AlibabaAlibaba22%TakNie
CATLCATL19%TakNie
$186,9 tys. Wolumen 30/06
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?
200+99%TakNie
180-19911%TakNie
$16,5 tys. Wolumen Kończy się dzisiaj
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Mohammed bin SalmanMohammed bin Salman77%TakNie
Vladimir PutinVladimir Putin48%TakNie
$14,6 tys. Wolumen 31/12
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
4%
szansa
Tak Nie
$10,4 tys. Wolumen 31/12
What will Trump say during Rose Garden event?What will Trump say during Rose Garden event?
College99%TakNie
Transgender99%TakNie
$8,1 tys. Wolumen Kończy się dzisiaj
What will Trump say this week? (August 24 - August 30)What will Trump say this week? (August 24 - August 30)
Karoline / Leavitt99%TakNie
Transgender99%TakNie
$9,1 tys. Wolumen Pozostało 7 dni
What will Scott Bessent say during press conference?What will Scott Bessent say during press conference?
Regime99%TakNie
Secondary99%TakNie
$7,4 tys. Wolumen Kończy się dzisiaj
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
86%
szansa
Tak Nie
$7,2 tys. Wolumen 31/12
Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?
December 3197%TakNie
October 3196%TakNie
$739,9 tys. Wolumen 31/12
Venezuela leader end of 2026?Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro85%TakNie
Delcy Rodríguez10%TakNie
$95,8 mln Wolumen 31/12
Decyzja Fed w grudnia?Decyzja Fed w grudnia?
No change61%TakNie
25 bps increase29%TakNie
$2,1 mln Wolumen 09/12
What will JD Vance say during remarks in Maine?What will JD Vance say during remarks in Maine?
Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime99%TakNie
Ass29%TakNie
$4,3 tys. Wolumen Kończy się dzisiaj
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
≤4727%TakNie
4914%TakNie
$2,9 mln Wolumen 03/11
Who will Trump meet with in August?Who will Trump meet with in August?
Elon MuskElon Musk13%TakNie
Giorgia MeloniGiorgia Meloni3%TakNie
$14,6 tys. Wolumen 31/08
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
6%
szansa
Tak Nie
$260,1 tys. Wolumen 31/12
Decyzja Fed w stycznia?Decyzja Fed w stycznia?
No change61%TakNie
25 bps increase22%TakNie
$2,1 mln Wolumen 27/01
Who will be arrested before 2027?Who will be arrested before 2027?
Mahmoud Khalil31%TakNie
John Brennan18%TakNie
$389 tys. Wolumen
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?
1220%TakNie
1019%TakNie
$10,5 tys. Wolumen 03/11
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 316%TakNie
September 302%TakNie
$29,1 mln Wolumen 01/01
What will Trump say in August?What will Trump say in August?
Thomas Jefferson53%TakNie
Movie Star52%TakNie
$3,3 tys. Wolumen 31/08
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?
30+5%TakNie
40+2%TakNie
$3,2 tys. Wolumen 31/08
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?
200+82%TakNie
180-19912%TakNie
$16,5 tys. Wolumen Pozostało 4 dni
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
June 30, 202756%TakNie
March 31, 202744%TakNie
$6 mln Wolumen 01/07
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?
554%TakNie
618%TakNie
$12 tys. Wolumen 03/11
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
Iran 5+ times64%TakNie
Alien63%TakNie
$2,4 tys. Wolumen 31/08
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 25 - September 1, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 25 - September 1, 2026?
200+38%TakNie
180-19926%TakNie
$16,5 tys. Wolumen 01/09
Who will Trump speak to in August?Who will Trump speak to in August?
Friedrich MerzFriedrich Merz52%TakNie
Elon MuskElon Musk44%TakNie
$2,3 tys. Wolumen 31/08
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
December 3117%TakNie
June 301%TakNie
$2,1 mln Wolumen 01/01
Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?
September 3085%TakNie
September 1578%TakNie
$2,4 tys. Wolumen 01/10
Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?
July 171%
December 3125%
$189,1 tys. Wolumen 01/01
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
53%
szansa
Tak Nie
$308,5 tys. Wolumen 31/12
What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?
Good Morning79%TakNie
Productivity77%TakNie
$45,8 tys. Wolumen Pozostało 5 dni
Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?
December 31, 202610%
June 30, 202726%
$43,4 tys. Wolumen 01/07
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
1%
szansa
Tak Nie
$109,1 tys. Wolumen 31/12
Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by Aug 28? Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by Aug 28?
22%
szansa
Tak Nie
$3,6 tys. Wolumen Pozostało 5 dni
How many House seats will the Democrats win in California?How many House seats will the Democrats win in California?
4863%TakNie
4717%TakNie
$7,2 tys. Wolumen 03/11
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 3117%TakNie
October 318%TakNie
$1,1 mln Wolumen 31/12
When will Trump announce a new White House Press Secretary?When will Trump announce a new White House Press Secretary?
September 3063%TakNie
September 1132%TakNie
$57,5 tys. Wolumen 01/10
Who will Trump publicly praise in August?Who will Trump publicly praise in August?
Xi JinpingXi Jinping72%TakNie
Delcy RodriguezDelcy Rodriguez58%TakNie
$1,5 tys. Wolumen 31/08
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?
December 31, 20265%
June 30, 202711%
$26,1 tys. Wolumen 01/07
What will Trump post this week? (August 24 - August 30)What will Trump post this week? (August 24 - August 30)
China99%TakNie
Communist / Communism91%TakNie
$1,8 tys. Wolumen Pozostało 7 dni
Weed rescheduled by...?Weed rescheduled by...?
December 3121%TakNie
September 3020%TakNie
$1,4 tys. Wolumen 01/01
What will Trump say during Tele-Rallies on August 24?What will Trump say during Tele-Rallies on August 24?
State 5+ times94%TakNie
Border 3+ times91%TakNie
$1,4 tys. Wolumen Kończy się dzisiaj
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31? Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31?
2%
szansa
Tak Nie
$1,6 tys. Wolumen 31/08
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
IrelandIreland98%TakNie
NiemcyNiemcy40%TakNie
$1,2 tys. Wolumen 31/12
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
3.75%45%TakNie
4.0%31%TakNie
$6,8 mln Wolumen 09/12
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?
285M56%TakNie
270M1%TakNie
$59,4 tys. Wolumen 09/09
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Ryan SalameRyan Salame23%TakNie
Matt GaetzMatt Gaetz21%TakNie
$428,5 tys. Wolumen 31/12
Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?
Candace OwensCandace Owens28%TakNie
Kaitlan CollinsKaitlan Collins28%TakNie
$1,1 tys. Wolumen 31/08
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
December 313%TakNie
August 311%TakNie
$6,3 mln Wolumen 01/01
Netanyahu arrested by…?Netanyahu arrested by…?
December 316%TakNie
September 302%TakNie
$22,3 tys. Wolumen 01/01
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
6%
szansa
Tak Nie
$64,7 tys. Wolumen 31/12
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?
December 31, 202620%
June 30, 20262%
$55,5 tys. Wolumen 01/01
Trump meets with Putin by...?Trump meets with Putin by...?
December 3149%TakNie
September 303%TakNie
$152,2 tys. Wolumen 01/01
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
16%
szansa
Tak Nie
$798 Wolumen 31/12
Trump approval rating on August 28?Trump approval rating on August 28?
38.0–38.435%TakNie
37.5–37.929%TakNie
$794 Wolumen Pozostało 5 dni
How many House seats will the Democrats win in South Carolina?How many House seats will the Democrats win in South Carolina?
173%TakNie
221%TakNie
$3,9 tys. Wolumen 03/11
How many House seats will the Democrats win in North Carolina?How many House seats will the Democrats win in North Carolina?
433%TakNie
533%TakNie
$6,1 tys. Wolumen 03/11
Will Trump launch a coin by ___?Will Trump launch a coin by ___?
December 31, 202619%
March 31, 20266%
$89 tys. Wolumen 01/01
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Cuban regime falls in 2026?
13%
szansa
Tak Nie
$1,6 mln Wolumen 31/12
Which companies will the US take a stake in?Which companies will the US take a stake in?
GlobalFoundries89%TakNie
Rigetti77%TakNie
$173,1 tys. Wolumen 31/12
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
October 3150%TakNie
December 3150%TakNie
$2,9 mln Wolumen 01/01
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
December 3128%TakNie
September 307%TakNie
$6,4 mln Wolumen 01/01
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027No meeting before 202794%TakNie
SzwajcariaSzwajcaria3%TakNie
$571 Wolumen 31/12
US strike on Mexico by...?US strike on Mexico by...?
December 3112%TakNie
January 311%TakNie
$3,4 mln Wolumen 01/01
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
2%
szansa
Tak Nie
$547 Wolumen 31/12
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
India20%TakNie
Kanada19%TakNie
$504 Wolumen 31/12
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
7%
szansa
Tak Nie
$10,6 mln Wolumen 31/12
Maduro Prison Time?Maduro Prison Time?
No prison time39%TakNie
60+33%TakNie
$676,4 tys. Wolumen 31/12
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?
August 31, 20261%
December 31, 202611%
$494 Wolumen 01/01
Iran zgadza się na oddanie zapasów wzbogaconego uranu do...?Iran zgadza się na oddanie zapasów wzbogaconego uranu do...?
31 grudnia8%TakNie
31 października3%TakNie
$17,8 mln Wolumen 01/01
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?
December 31, 202629%TakNie
August 31, 20263%TakNie
$87,4 tys. Wolumen 01/01
FDA moves BPC-157 to Category 1 by…?FDA moves BPC-157 to Category 1 by…?
August 31, 202610%
December 31, 202647%
$3,4 tys. Wolumen 01/01
Czy Kash Patel odejdzie ze stanowiska do...?Czy Kash Patel odejdzie ze stanowiska do...?
December 3124%TakNie
September 308%TakNie
$1,7 mln Wolumen 01/01
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 313%TakNie
June 263%TakNie
$1,6 mln Wolumen 01/09
How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
35%35%25%TakNie
30%30%6%TakNie
$380 Wolumen 31/12
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Wisconsin?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Wisconsin?
342%TakNie
226%TakNie
$4,7 tys. Wolumen 03/11
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31? Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?
16%
szansa
Tak Nie
$7,4 tys. Wolumen Pozostało 7 dni
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
67%
szansa
Tak Nie
$419 Wolumen 20/01
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FAQ o rynkach Trumpa

Które rynki Trumpa są teraz aktywne?

Roczne poparcie, wyniki konkretnych polityk, postępowania prawne, wyniki negocjacji międzynarodowych oraz decyzje o wysokich nominacjach.

Co porusza cenami?

Wypowiedzi Trumpa (zwłaszcza na Truth Social), oficjalne komunikaty Białego Domu, wyroki sądów i działania Kongresu. Reakcje są bardzo szybkie.

Jak zarządzać ryzykiem na rynkach Trumpa?

Wysoka zmienność: buduj pozycje stopniowo, unikaj nadmiernej koncentracji na jednym rynku i sprawdzaj głębokość arkusza zleceń przed wejściem.

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