Trump Vorhersagemärkte

Trump Vorhersagemärkte gehören zu den aktivsten bei Polymarket: Amtszeit, rechtliche Verfahren, Außenpolitik (Ukraine, China, Naher Osten), Innenpolitik und allgemeine Zustimmung. Die Volumina übersteigen Hunderte von Millionen Dollar.

Diese Märkte reagieren stark auf jede wichtige Aussage, über Truth Social, Interviews oder Ankündigungen des Weißen Hauses. Echtzeit-Nachrichtenberichterstattung schafft Handelsmöglichkeiten.

100 aktive Märkte
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Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
18%
Chance
Ja Nein
$9,8 Mio. Vol 01/01
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 22August 2299%JaNein
August 25August 2599%JaNein
$2,6 Mio. Vol 30/09
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
December 3173%JaNein
October 3152%JaNein
$19,4 Mio. Vol 01/01
Nächste Runde der US-Iran-Friedensgespräche bis...?Nächste Runde der US-Iran-Friedensgespräche bis...?
March 31, 202765%JaNein
December 31, 202652%JaNein
$106,9 Tsd. Vol 01/04
Wird die USA Iran vor 2027 angreifen? Wird die USA Iran vor 2027 angreifen?
17%
Chance
Ja Nein
$90,3 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Fällt das iranische Regime vor 2027? Fällt das iranische Regime vor 2027?
7%
Chance
Ja Nein
$87,1 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Russia nuclear test by...?Russia nuclear test by...?
December 31, 2026December 31, 20266%JaNein
September 30, 2026September 30, 20261%JaNein
$6,2 Mio. Vol 01/01
Fed-Entscheidung im Oktober?Fed-Entscheidung im Oktober?
No change72%JaNein
25 bps increase25%JaNein
$2,1 Mio. Vol 28/10
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
September 3017%JaNein
September 158%JaNein
$673,3 Tsd. Vol 01/10
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
July 314%
August 314%
$274,2 Tsd. Vol 01/09
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Steve WitkoffSteve Witkoff45%JaNein
Mohammad Bagher GhalibafMohammad Bagher Ghalibaf41%JaNein
$22,2 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Stimmt Iran bis 31 Dezember dem Stopp der Urananreicherung zu? Stimmt Iran bis 31 Dezember dem Stopp der Urananreicherung zu?
14%
Chance
Ja Nein
$22,1 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
September 3040%JaNein
August 3112%JaNein
$914,9 Tsd. Vol 01/10
NATO x Russia military clash by...?NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 3124%JaNein
October 3115%JaNein
$5,9 Mio. Vol 01/01
Wo wird die nächste Runde der US-Iran-Friedensgespräche stattfinden...?Wo wird die nächste Runde der US-Iran-Friedensgespräche stattfinden...?
Keine Sitzung bis zum 30. September74%JaNein
Schweiz10%JaNein
$17,5 Tsd. Vol 30/09
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
ChinaChina52%JaNein
No meeting by December 31No meeting by December 3148%JaNein
$16,8 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
August 2494%JaNein
August 3192%JaNein
$15,4 Tsd. Vol 01/09
Trump out as President before 2027? Trump out as President before 2027?
7%
Chance
Ja Nein
$29 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Trump out as President by August 31? Trump out as President by August 31?
1%
Chance
Ja Nein
$29 Tsd. Vol 31/08
Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?
Scott JenningsScott Jennings25%JaNein
Anna KellyAnna Kelly17%JaNein
$149,6 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
AlibabaAlibaba22%JaNein
CATLCATL19%JaNein
$186,9 Tsd. Vol 30/06
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?
200+88%JaNein
180-19912%JaNein
$11,5 Tsd. Vol Endet heute
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Mohammed bin SalmanMohammed bin Salman77%JaNein
Vladimir PutinVladimir Putin48%JaNein
$10,7 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
4%
Chance
Ja Nein
$7,5 Tsd. Vol 31/12
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
86%
Chance
Ja Nein
$7,2 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Wird Xi Jinping die USA vor 2027 besuchen?Wird Xi Jinping die USA vor 2027 besuchen?
December 3197%JaNein
October 3196%JaNein
$739,5 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Venezuela leader end of 2026?Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro86%JaNein
Delcy Rodríguez10%JaNein
$95,8 Mio. Vol 31/12
Fed-Entscheidung im Dezember?Fed-Entscheidung im Dezember?
No change61%JaNein
25 bps increase29%JaNein
$2,1 Mio. Vol 09/12
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
≤4727%JaNein
4914%JaNein
$2,9 Mio. Vol 03/11
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?
August 31, 20261%
December 31, 202610%
$4 Tsd. Vol 01/01
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
6%
Chance
Ja Nein
$260,1 Tsd. Vol 31/12
What will Trump say this week? (August 24 - August 30)What will Trump say this week? (August 24 - August 30)
God90%JaNein
Boom / Booming81%JaNein
$5,4 Tsd. Vol 7 Tage verbleibend
US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday? US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?
62%
Chance
Ja Nein
$5,8 Tsd. Vol Endet heute
Fed-Entscheidung im Januar?Fed-Entscheidung im Januar?
No change61%JaNein
25 bps increase22%JaNein
$2,1 Mio. Vol 27/01
Who will be arrested before 2027?Who will be arrested before 2027?
Mahmoud Khalil30%JaNein
John Brennan18%JaNein
$389 Tsd. Vol
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?
1220%JaNein
1019%JaNein
$10,5 Tsd. Vol 03/11
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 316%JaNein
September 302%JaNein
$29,1 Mio. Vol 01/01
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
Iran 5+ times63%JaNein
Go ahead 5+ times58%JaNein
$3,3 Tsd. Vol 31/08
What will Trump say in August?What will Trump say in August?
Movie Star52%JaNein
Green New Scam52%JaNein
$2,9 Tsd. Vol 31/08
Who will Trump meet with in August?Who will Trump meet with in August?
Elon MuskElon Musk11%JaNein
Giorgia MeloniGiorgia Meloni7%JaNein
$10,7 Tsd. Vol 31/08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
June 30, 202755%JaNein
March 31, 202744%JaNein
$6 Mio. Vol 01/07
What will Scott Bessent say during press conference?What will Scott Bessent say during press conference?
Oil / Gas / Gasoline86%JaNein
Regime80%JaNein
$2,5 Tsd. Vol Endet heute
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?
554%JaNein
618%JaNein
$11,9 Tsd. Vol 03/11
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?
30+7%JaNein
40+2%JaNein
$2,4 Tsd. Vol 31/08
Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?
September 3086%JaNein
September 1578%JaNein
$2,6 Tsd. Vol 01/10
What will JD Vance say during remarks in Maine?What will JD Vance say during remarks in Maine?
Trump 10+ times99%JaNein
Illegal Alien99%JaNein
$2,2 Tsd. Vol Endet heute
What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?
Good Morning80%JaNein
Productivity77%JaNein
$45,6 Tsd. Vol 5 Tage verbleibend
Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?
December 31, 202610%
June 30, 202724%
$43,4 Tsd. Vol 01/07
Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by Aug 28? Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by Aug 28?
23%
Chance
Ja Nein
$3,5 Tsd. Vol 5 Tage verbleibend
Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?
July 171%
December 3126%
$188,8 Tsd. Vol 01/01
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?
200+61%JaNein
180-19920%JaNein
$11,5 Tsd. Vol 4 Tage verbleibend
How many House seats will the Democrats win in California?How many House seats will the Democrats win in California?
4863%JaNein
4717%JaNein
$7,2 Tsd. Vol 03/11
When will Trump announce a new White House Press Secretary?When will Trump announce a new White House Press Secretary?
September 3063%JaNein
September 1132%JaNein
$57,5 Tsd. Vol 01/10
Who will Trump publicly praise in August?Who will Trump publicly praise in August?
Xi JinpingXi Jinping74%JaNein
Doug FordDoug Ford42%JaNein
$1,5 Tsd. Vol 31/08
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?
December 31, 20265%
June 30, 202711%
$26,1 Tsd. Vol 01/07
What will Trump say during Rose Garden event?What will Trump say during Rose Garden event?
Child / Children 5+ times92%JaNein
College87%JaNein
$1,4 Tsd. Vol Endet heute
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 3117%JaNein
October 318%JaNein
$1,1 Mio. Vol 31/12
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 25 - September 1, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 25 - September 1, 2026?
200+53%JaNein
180-19926%JaNein
$11,5 Tsd. Vol 01/09
Who will Trump speak to in August?Who will Trump speak to in August?
Friedrich MerzFriedrich Merz55%JaNein
Elon MuskElon Musk44%JaNein
$1,4 Tsd. Vol 31/08
Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?
Candace OwensCandace Owens27%JaNein
Kaitlan CollinsKaitlan Collins27%JaNein
$1,3 Tsd. Vol 31/08
Weed rescheduled by...?Weed rescheduled by...?
December 3118%JaNein
September 3016%JaNein
$1,3 Tsd. Vol 01/01
What will Trump post this week? (August 24 - August 30)What will Trump post this week? (August 24 - August 30)
Communist / Communism90%JaNein
Crime88%JaNein
$1,6 Tsd. Vol 7 Tage verbleibend
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
3.75%45%JaNein
4.0%31%JaNein
$6,8 Mio. Vol 09/12
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31? Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31?
2%
Chance
Ja Nein
$1,7 Tsd. Vol 31/08
Kash Patel bis... aus dem Amt?Kash Patel bis... aus dem Amt?
December 3125%JaNein
September 308%JaNein
$1,7 Mio. Vol 01/01
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
IrelandIreland99%JaNein
DeutschlandDeutschland39%JaNein
$1,2 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Ryan SalameRyan Salame23%JaNein
Daniel PennyDaniel Penny21%JaNein
$428,5 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?
285M56%JaNein
270M1%JaNein
$59,3 Tsd. Vol 09/09
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
December 313%JaNein
August 311%JaNein
$6,3 Mio. Vol 01/01
Netanyahu arrested by…?Netanyahu arrested by…?
December 316%JaNein
September 302%JaNein
$22,3 Tsd. Vol 01/01
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
6%
Chance
Ja Nein
$64,7 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?
December 31, 202621%
June 30, 20262%
$55,5 Tsd. Vol 01/01
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027No meeting before 202794%JaNein
SchweizSchweiz3%JaNein
$904 Vol 31/12
Trump meets with Putin by...?Trump meets with Putin by...?
December 3148%JaNein
September 302%JaNein
$152,1 Tsd. Vol 01/01
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
16%
Chance
Ja Nein
$839 Vol 31/12
Trump approval rating on August 28?Trump approval rating on August 28?
38.0–38.435%JaNein
38.5–38.930%JaNein
$779 Vol 5 Tage verbleibend
How many House seats will the Democrats win in South Carolina?How many House seats will the Democrats win in South Carolina?
173%JaNein
221%JaNein
$3,9 Tsd. Vol 03/11
How many House seats will the Democrats win in North Carolina?How many House seats will the Democrats win in North Carolina?
433%JaNein
532%JaNein
$6,1 Tsd. Vol 03/11
Will Trump launch a coin by ___?Will Trump launch a coin by ___?
December 31, 202619%
March 31, 20266%
$89 Tsd. Vol 01/01
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Cuban regime falls in 2026?
13%
Chance
Ja Nein
$1,6 Mio. Vol 31/12
Which companies will the US take a stake in?Which companies will the US take a stake in?
GlobalFoundries89%JaNein
Rigetti79%JaNein
$173,1 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
October 3150%JaNein
December 3150%JaNein
$2,9 Mio. Vol 01/01
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
December 3128%JaNein
September 307%JaNein
$6,4 Mio. Vol 01/01
US strike on Mexico by...?US strike on Mexico by...?
December 3112%JaNein
January 311%JaNein
$3,4 Mio. Vol 01/01
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
2%
Chance
Ja Nein
$547 Vol 31/12
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
India18%JaNein
Israel16%JaNein
$504 Vol 31/12
Maduro Prison Time?Maduro Prison Time?
No prison time39%JaNein
60+33%JaNein
$676,4 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?
December 31, 202629%JaNein
August 31, 20263%JaNein
$87,4 Tsd. Vol 01/01
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
7%
Chance
Ja Nein
$10,6 Mio. Vol 31/12
Iran stimmt zu, den angereicherten Uranbestand bis... zu übergeben...?Iran stimmt zu, den angereicherten Uranbestand bis... zu übergeben...?
31. Dezember8%JaNein
31. Oktober3%JaNein
$17,8 Mio. Vol 01/01
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
52%
Chance
Ja Nein
$306,9 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31? Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?
20%
Chance
Ja Nein
$7,4 Tsd. Vol 7 Tage verbleibend
How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
35%35%25%JaNein
30%30%6%JaNein
$386 Vol 31/12
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Wisconsin?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Wisconsin?
342%JaNein
226%JaNein
$4,7 Tsd. Vol 03/11
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 313%JaNein
June 263%JaNein
$1,6 Mio. Vol 01/09
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
67%
Chance
Ja Nein
$419 Vol 20/01
Fed abolished before 2027? Fed abolished before 2027?
5%
Chance
Ja Nein
$352 Vol 31/12
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?
October 3172%JaNein
September 3061%JaNein
$347 Vol 01/11
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
1%
Chance
Ja Nein
$107,6 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election? Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?
No Endorsement65%JaNein
Likud31%JaNein
$29,3 Tsd. Vol 28/10
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Jährliche Zustimmung, spezifische politische Ergebnisse, rechtliche Verfahren, Ergebnisse internationaler Verhandlungen und Entscheidungen über hochrangige Ernennungen.

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Trump-Aussagen (insbesondere Truth Social), offizielle Ankündigungen des Weißen Hauses, Gerichtsurteile und Maßnahmen des Kongresses. Reaktionen sind sehr schnell.

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