Mga Pamilihan ng Prediksyon ni Trump

Ang mga pamilihan ng prediksyon ni Trump ay kabilang sa pinaka-aktibo sa Polymarket: termino, mga legal na proseso, patakarang panlabas (Ukraina, Tsina, Gitnang Silangan), patakarang panloob, at pangkalahatang pag-apruba. Ang mga dami ay lumalampas sa daan-daang milyong dolyar.

Ang mga pamilihang ito ay tumutugon nang malakas sa bawat pangunahing pahayag, sa pamamagitan ng Truth Social, mga panayam, o mga anunsyo mula sa White House. Ang real-time na saklaw ng balita ay lumilikha ng mga pagkakataon sa kalakalan.

100 aktibong market
Ayusin
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
18%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$9.8M Dami 01/01
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 22August 2299%OoHindi
August 25August 2599%OoHindi
$2.7M Dami 30/09
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
December 3173%OoHindi
October 3152%OoHindi
$19.5M Dami 01/01
Babagsak ba ang rehimeng Iranian bago ang 2027? Babagsak ba ang rehimeng Iranian bago ang 2027?
8%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$401K Dami 31/12
Sasalakay ba ang U.S. sa Iran bago ang 2027? Sasalakay ba ang U.S. sa Iran bago ang 2027?
17%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$233.9K Dami 31/12
Susunod na round ng usapang pangkapayapaan ng US-Iran...?Susunod na round ng usapang pangkapayapaan ng US-Iran...?
March 31, 202767%OoHindi
December 31, 202653%OoHindi
$98.7K Dami 01/04
Russia nuclear test by...?Russia nuclear test by...?
December 31, 2026December 31, 20266%OoHindi
September 30, 2026September 30, 20261%OoHindi
$6.2M Dami 01/01
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
August 2496%OoHindi
August 2893%OoHindi
$35.3K Dami 01/09
Desisyon ng Fed sa Oktubre?Desisyon ng Fed sa Oktubre?
No change72%OoHindi
25 bps increase25%OoHindi
$2M Dami 28/10
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
September 3016%OoHindi
September 158%OoHindi
$673.3K Dami 01/10
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
July 314%
August 314%
$275.4K Dami 01/09
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Mohammad Bagher GhalibafMohammad Bagher Ghalibaf41%OoHindi
Steve WitkoffSteve Witkoff37%OoHindi
$24.4K Dami 31/12
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
September 3040%OoHindi
August 3110%OoHindi
$917.2K Dami 01/10
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
ChinaChina53%OoHindi
No meeting by December 31No meeting by December 3147%OoHindi
$23.3K Dami 31/12
Papayag ba ang Iran na itigil ang enrichment ng uranium bago ang 31 Disyembre? Papayag ba ang Iran na itigil ang enrichment ng uranium bago ang 31 Disyembre?
14%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$22.1K Dami 31/12
NATO x Russia military clash by...?NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 3124%OoHindi
October 3115%OoHindi
$5.9M Dami 01/01
US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday? US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?
96%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$20.5K Dami Matatapos ngayong araw
Saan gaganapin ang susunod na round ng usapang pangkapayapaan ng US-Iran...?Saan gaganapin ang susunod na round ng usapang pangkapayapaan ng US-Iran...?
Walang Pulong bago ang Setyembre 3074%OoHindi
Switzerland10%OoHindi
$17.6K Dami 30/09
Trump out as President by August 31? Trump out as President by August 31?
1%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$32.2K Dami 31/08
Trump out as President before 2027? Trump out as President before 2027?
7%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$32.2K Dami 31/12
Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?
Scott JenningsScott Jennings28%OoHindi
Anna KellyAnna Kelly17%OoHindi
$149.9K Dami 31/12
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?
200+99%OoHindi
180-19911%OoHindi
$16.5K Dami Matatapos ngayong araw
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
AlibabaAlibaba22%OoHindi
CATLCATL19%OoHindi
$186.9K Dami 30/06
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Mohammed bin SalmanMohammed bin Salman77%OoHindi
Vladimir PutinVladimir Putin48%OoHindi
$15.6K Dami 31/12
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
4%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$7.5K Dami 31/12
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
86%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$7.2K Dami 31/12
Bisitahin ba ni Xi Jinping ang US bago ang 2027?Bisitahin ba ni Xi Jinping ang US bago ang 2027?
December 3197%OoHindi
October 3196%OoHindi
$739.7K Dami 31/12
What will Scott Bessent say during press conference?What will Scott Bessent say during press conference?
Secondary99%OoHindi
Facilitator / Facilitate / Facilitates99%OoHindi
$6.1K Dami Matatapos ngayong araw
Venezuela leader end of 2026?Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro85%OoHindi
Delcy Rodríguez10%OoHindi
$95.8M Dami 31/12
Who will Trump meet with in August?Who will Trump meet with in August?
Elon MuskElon Musk11%OoHindi
Giorgia MeloniGiorgia Meloni3%OoHindi
$15.6K Dami 31/08
Desisyon ng Fed sa Disyembre?Desisyon ng Fed sa Disyembre?
No change61%OoHindi
25 bps increase29%OoHindi
$2M Dami 09/12
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
≤4727%OoHindi
4914%OoHindi
$2.9M Dami 03/11
What will JD Vance say during remarks in Maine?What will JD Vance say during remarks in Maine?
Trump 10+ times99%OoHindi
Border 5+ times99%OoHindi
$4.1K Dami Matatapos ngayong araw
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
6%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$260.1K Dami 31/12
What will Trump say this week? (August 24 - August 30)What will Trump say this week? (August 24 - August 30)
God90%OoHindi
Boom / Booming80%OoHindi
$5.4K Dami 7 araw pa
Desisyon ng Fed sa Enero?Desisyon ng Fed sa Enero?
No change61%OoHindi
25 bps increase22%OoHindi
$2M Dami 27/01
Who will be arrested before 2027?Who will be arrested before 2027?
Mahmoud Khalil29%OoHindi
John Brennan18%OoHindi
$389K Dami
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?
1220%OoHindi
1019%OoHindi
$10.5K Dami 03/11
What will Trump say during Rose Garden event?What will Trump say during Rose Garden event?
Child / Children 5+ times88%OoHindi
College87%OoHindi
$3.5K Dami Matatapos ngayong araw
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 316%OoHindi
September 302%OoHindi
$29.1M Dami 01/01
What will Trump say in August?What will Trump say in August?
Movie Star52%OoHindi
Thomas Jefferson52%OoHindi
$3.3K Dami 31/08
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?
30+5%OoHindi
40+2%OoHindi
$3.2K Dami 31/08
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?
200+74%OoHindi
180-19920%OoHindi
$16.5K Dami 4 araw pa
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
June 30, 202756%OoHindi
March 31, 202744%OoHindi
$6M Dami 01/07
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
Iran 5+ times65%OoHindi
Alien60%OoHindi
$2.5K Dami 31/08
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?
555%OoHindi
618%OoHindi
$12K Dami 03/11
Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?
September 3086%OoHindi
September 1578%OoHindi
$2.5K Dami 01/10
Who will Trump speak to in August?Who will Trump speak to in August?
Friedrich MerzFriedrich Merz52%OoHindi
Elon MuskElon Musk44%OoHindi
$2.2K Dami 31/08
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 25 - September 1, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 25 - September 1, 2026?
200+44%OoHindi
180-19926%OoHindi
$16.5K Dami 01/09
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
52%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$308.5K Dami 31/12
What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?
Good Morning79%OoHindi
Productivity77%OoHindi
$45.8K Dami 5 araw pa
Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?
December 31, 202610%
June 30, 202728%
$43.4K Dami 01/07
Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by Aug 28? Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by Aug 28?
21%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$3.6K Dami 5 araw pa
Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?
July 171%
December 3126%
$188.8K Dami 01/01
How many House seats will the Democrats win in California?How many House seats will the Democrats win in California?
4863%OoHindi
4717%OoHindi
$7.2K Dami 03/11
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 3117%OoHindi
October 318%OoHindi
$1.1M Dami 31/12
What will Trump post this week? (August 24 - August 30)What will Trump post this week? (August 24 - August 30)
China99%OoHindi
Communist / Communism91%OoHindi
$1.9K Dami 7 araw pa
Who will Trump publicly praise in August?Who will Trump publicly praise in August?
Xi JinpingXi Jinping74%OoHindi
Delcy RodriguezDelcy Rodriguez58%OoHindi
$1.5K Dami 31/08
When will Trump announce a new White House Press Secretary?When will Trump announce a new White House Press Secretary?
September 3063%OoHindi
September 1132%OoHindi
$57.5K Dami 01/10
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?
December 31, 20265%
June 30, 202711%
$26.1K Dami 01/07
Weed rescheduled by...?Weed rescheduled by...?
December 3118%OoHindi
September 3016%OoHindi
$1.4K Dami 01/01
Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?
Candace OwensCandace Owens28%OoHindi
Kaitlan CollinsKaitlan Collins27%OoHindi
$1.3K Dami 31/08
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31? Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31?
2%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$1.6K Dami 31/08
Aalis ba sa puwesto si Kash Patel bago ang...?Aalis ba sa puwesto si Kash Patel bago ang...?
December 3125%OoHindi
September 308%OoHindi
$1.7M Dami 01/01
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
IrelandIreland98%OoHindi
AlemanyaAlemanya40%OoHindi
$1.2K Dami 31/12
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
3.75%44%OoHindi
4.0%31%OoHindi
$6.8M Dami 09/12
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?
285M56%OoHindi
270M1%OoHindi
$59.4K Dami 09/09
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Ryan SalameRyan Salame23%OoHindi
Matt GaetzMatt Gaetz21%OoHindi
$428.5K Dami 31/12
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
December 313%OoHindi
August 311%OoHindi
$6.3M Dami 01/01
Netanyahu arrested by…?Netanyahu arrested by…?
December 316%OoHindi
September 302%OoHindi
$22.3K Dami 01/01
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
6%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$64.7K Dami 31/12
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?
December 31, 202620%
June 30, 20262%
$55.5K Dami 01/01
Trump meets with Putin by...?Trump meets with Putin by...?
December 3149%OoHindi
September 302%OoHindi
$152.2K Dami 01/01
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
16%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$798 Dami 31/12
Trump approval rating on August 28?Trump approval rating on August 28?
38.0–38.435%OoHindi
37.5–37.929%OoHindi
$794 Dami 5 araw pa
How many House seats will the Democrats win in South Carolina?How many House seats will the Democrats win in South Carolina?
173%OoHindi
221%OoHindi
$3.9K Dami 03/11
How many House seats will the Democrats win in North Carolina?How many House seats will the Democrats win in North Carolina?
433%OoHindi
532%OoHindi
$6.1K Dami 03/11
Will Trump launch a coin by ___?Will Trump launch a coin by ___?
December 31, 202619%
March 31, 20266%
$89K Dami 01/01
What will Trump say during Tele-Rallies on August 24?What will Trump say during Tele-Rallies on August 24?
State 5+ times94%OoHindi
Border 3+ times91%OoHindi
$656 Dami Matatapos ngayong araw
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Cuban regime falls in 2026?
13%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$1.6M Dami 31/12
Which companies will the US take a stake in?Which companies will the US take a stake in?
GlobalFoundries89%OoHindi
Rigetti81%OoHindi
$173.1K Dami 31/12
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
October 3150%OoHindi
December 3150%OoHindi
$2.9M Dami 01/01
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027No meeting before 202794%OoHindi
SwitzerlandSwitzerland3%OoHindi
$578 Dami 31/12
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
December 3128%OoHindi
September 307%OoHindi
$6.4M Dami 01/01
US strike on Mexico by...?US strike on Mexico by...?
December 3112%OoHindi
January 311%OoHindi
$3.4M Dami 01/01
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
2%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$547 Dami 31/12
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
India20%OoHindi
Canada18%OoHindi
$504 Dami 31/12
Maduro Prison Time?Maduro Prison Time?
No prison time39%OoHindi
60+33%OoHindi
$676.4K Dami 31/12
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
7%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$10.6M Dami 31/12
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?
December 31, 202629%OoHindi
August 31, 20263%OoHindi
$87.4K Dami 01/01
Sumasang-ayon ang Iran na isuko ang imbentaryo ng enriched uranium...?Sumasang-ayon ang Iran na isuko ang imbentaryo ng enriched uranium...?
Disyembre 318%OoHindi
Oktubre 313%OoHindi
$17.8M Dami 01/01
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?
August 31, 20261%
December 31, 202610%
$409 Dami 01/01
FDA moves BPC-157 to Category 1 by…?FDA moves BPC-157 to Category 1 by…?
August 31, 202610%
December 31, 202647%
$3.4K Dami 01/01
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 313%OoHindi
June 263%OoHindi
$1.6M Dami 01/09
How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
35%35%25%OoHindi
30%30%6%OoHindi
$380 Dami 31/12
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Wisconsin?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Wisconsin?
342%OoHindi
226%OoHindi
$4.7K Dami 03/11
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31? Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?
20%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$7.4K Dami 7 araw pa
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
67%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$419 Dami 20/01
Fed abolished before 2027? Fed abolished before 2027?
5%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$352 Dami 31/12
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?
October 3172%OoHindi
September 3064%OoHindi
$347 Dami 01/11
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FAQ ng mga Pamilihan ni Trump

Aling mga pamilihan ni Trump ang live ngayon?

Taunang pag-apruba, tiyak na mga resulta ng patakaran, mga legal na proseso, mga resulta ng internasyonal na negosasyon, at mga desisyon sa mataas na appointment.

Ano ang nagpapagalaw sa mga presyo?

Mga pahayag ni Trump (lalo na sa Truth Social), opisyal na mga anunsyo mula sa White House, mga desisyon ng hukuman, at aksyon ng Kongreso. Napakabilis ng mga reaksyon.

Paano ko pamamahalaan ang panganib sa mga pamilihan ni Trump?

Mataas na pagkasumpungin: unti-unting bumuo ng mga posisyon, iwasan ang sobrang konsentrasyon sa isang solong pamilihan, at suriin ang lalim ng order-book bago pumasok.

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