Polymarket Russia Prediction Markets
Polymarket markets on Russia cover the key scenarios: presidential and parliamentary elections, the length of rule, the course of the war and negotiations, sanctions and the macro economy. Prices form in real time from order-book depth.
Activity rises around important dates - voting days, summits and major decisions. Traded volume reflects international interest in events in Russia.
95 active markets
United Russia (ER)72%YesNo
New People (NL)22%YesNo
June 30, 202714%YesNo
December 31, 20268%YesNo
December 3125%YesNo
October 3114%YesNo
China55%YesNo
No meeting by December 3142%YesNo325–33940%YesNo
340–35423%YesNo
December 3150%YesNo
September 3010%YesNo
United Russia (ER)99%YesNo
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)1%YesNo
August 2552%YesNo
August 2641%YesNo
December 3186%YesNo
October 3179%YesNo
August 311%YesNo
July 171%YesNo
June 30, 202756%YesNo
March 31, 202744%YesNo
No Change68%YesNo
Decrease32%YesNo
December 3149%YesNo
September 302%YesNo
United Russia98%YesNo
CPRF1%YesNo
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)39%YesNoNew People (NL)36%YesNo
June 30, 202712%YesNo
December 316%YesNo
August 31, 20261%
December 31, 202611%
August 2169%August 2897%
December 3136%YesNoSeptember 3014%YesNoNo Change51%YesNo
Decrease40%YesNo
December 317%
June 301%
December 315%YesNoSeptember 302%YesNo
December 3117%YesNoSeptember 303%YesNo
December 3118%YesNo
July 311%YesNo
Oleg Melnichenko96%YesNo
Viktor Yeroshenko3%YesNo
December 31, 20264%YesNo
September 30, 20261%YesNo
December 316%YesNo
September 303%YesNo
United Russia94%YesNo
Communists of Russia3%YesNo
December 319%YesNo
June 301%YesNo
United Russia96%YesNo
Yabloko2%YesNo
United Russia97%YesNo
LDPR2%YesNo
December 312%
June 301%
Ramzan Kadyrov98%YesNo
Ismail Denilkhanov1%YesNo
United Russia99%YesNoCPRF1%YesNo
United Russia97%YesNoCPRF1%YesNo
United Russia99%YesNoCPRF1%YesNo
Vitaly Korolev97%YesNo
Olga Levina1%YesNo
United Russia99%YesNoLDPR1%YesNo
United Russia97%YesNo
New People2%YesNo
August 311%
June 301%
November 3050%YesNo
December 3150%YesNo
United Russia96%YesNo
Rodina2%YesNo
United Russia96%YesNoNew People3%YesNo
December 31, 202550%YesNo
December 31, 20265%YesNo
United Russia97%YesNo
A Just Russia2%YesNo
United Russia96%YesNoLDPR2%YesNo
Yegor Kovalchuk96%YesNo
Andrey Arkhitsky3%YesNo
Alexey Russkikh96%YesNo
Sergey Marinin3%YesNo
United Russia96%YesNoA Just Russia3%YesNo
United Russia95%YesNoYabloko2%YesNo
United Russia93%YesNoA Just Russia1%YesNo
Vladislav Khovalyg97%YesNo
Yegor Chistyakov1%YesNo
United Russia97%YesNoNew People1%YesNo
United Russia96%YesNoA Just Russia3%YesNo
United Russia99%YesNoCPRF1%YesNo
United Russia98%YesNoA Just Russia1%YesNo
United Russia97%YesNoA Just Russia1%YesNo
United Russia95%YesNoCPRF1%YesNo
United Russia97%YesNoNew People1%YesNo
Artyom Zdunov99%YesNo
Alexander Alexandrov1%YesNo
United Russia96%YesNoYabloko1%YesNo
United Russia98%YesNoLDPR1%YesNo
Marat Kambolov98%YesNo
Oleg Kozaev1%YesNo
December 313%YesNo
March 311%YesNo
United Russia96%YesNoA Just Russia2%YesNo
United Russia99%YesNoYabloko1%YesNo
United Russia99%YesNoRodina1%YesNo
United Russia96%YesNoCPRF2%YesNo
United Russia97%YesNoNew People2%YesNo
United Russia97%YesNoA Just Russia1%YesNo
United Russia96%YesNoA Just Russia2%YesNo
United Russia96%YesNo
Party of Pensioners1%YesNo
December 3111%YesNo
August 311%YesNo
United Russia98%YesNoCommunists of Russia1%YesNo
December 317%
June 301%
United Russia97%YesNoCPRF2%YesNo
United Russia96%YesNoNew People1%YesNo
Alexander Shuvaev95%YesNo
Artyom Zotov2%YesNoRussia Markets FAQ
Which Russia markets exist on Polymarket?
Presidential and parliamentary elections, terms of rule, the war and negotiations, sanctions and economic decisions. Both binary and multi-outcome contracts.
What moves prices in Russia markets?
Polls, political statements, negotiations and economic news. Prices react to major events within minutes.
How are the odds set?
Prices come from real orders in the book, not a house line, so each price reflects the market's live consensus.
