Polymarket France Prediction Markets

Polymarket markets on France cover the main storylines in French politics: the presidential race, snap elections and dissolution, who is named Prime Minister, approval ratings and economic direction. Prices form in real time from order-book depth.

These markets pick up around key dates - election nights, confidence votes and government announcements. Traded volume reflects international interest in French politics.

32 active markets
Next French Presidential ElectionNext French Presidential Election
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen32%YesNo
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe25%YesNo
$121.7M Volume 30/04
Highest temperature in Paris on August 24?Highest temperature in Paris on August 24?
27°C99%YesNo
26°C3%YesNo
$101.1K Volume Ends today
Highest temperature in Paris on August 25?Highest temperature in Paris on August 25?
27°C41%YesNo
26°C24%YesNo
$101.1K Volume Ends today
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Jean-Luc MélenchonJean-Luc Mélenchon96%YesNo
Nathalie ArthaudNathalie Arthaud89%YesNo
$312.6K Volume 17/04
Les Républicains Seat Count after French Senate Election?Les Républicains Seat Count after French Senate Election?
125-12830%YesNo
121-12423%YesNo
$10.8K Volume 12/10
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 24?Lowest temperature in Paris on August 24?
16°C96%YesNo
11°C or below1%YesNo
$8.6K Volume Ends today
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen84%YesNo
Jean-Luc MélenchonJean-Luc Mélenchon50%YesNo
$93.4K Volume 30/04
SER Seat Count after French Senate Election?SER Seat Count after French Senate Election?
62-6430%YesNo
59-6129%YesNo
$7.2K Volume 12/10
France United Left Primary WinnerFrance United Left Primary Winner
Canceled94%YesNo
François RuffinFrançois Ruffin1%YesNo
$210.6K Volume 11/10
French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
Éric Zemmour68%YesNo
Olivier Faure59%YesNo
$70.8K Volume 23/04
European military action against Iran by...?European military action against Iran by...?
July 311%
August 311%
$307.8K Volume 31/08
Socialist Party of France Presidential NomineeSocialist Party of France Presidential Nominee
Raphael GlucksmannRaphael Glucksmann69%YesNo
Olivier FaureOlivier Faure11%YesNo
$31.8K Volume 31/10
French Senate Election: 2nd Most Seats?French Senate Election: 2nd Most Seats?
Union CentristeUnion Centriste60%YesNo
SERSER36%YesNo
$2.3K Volume 12/10
Macron out by...?Macron out by...?
December 31, 2025December 31, 202550%YesNo
October 31, 2025October 31, 202550%YesNo
$2.1M Volume 01/01
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 25?Lowest temperature in Paris on August 25?
16°C40%YesNo
17°C27%YesNo
$8.6K Volume Ends today
Highest temperature in Paris on August 26?Highest temperature in Paris on August 26?
28°C36%YesNo
29°C23%YesNo
$101.1K Volume 2 days left
National Rally Group Seat Count after French Senate Election?National Rally Group Seat Count after French Senate Election?
1024%YesNo
13+24%YesNo
$5.9K Volume 12/10
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 26?Lowest temperature in Paris on August 26?
18°C36%YesNo
19°C20%YesNo
$8.6K Volume 2 days left
National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026? National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?
80%
chance
Yes No
$2.9K Volume 31/12
French Senate Election: Most Seats?French Senate Election: Most Seats?
Les RépublicainsLes Républicains96%YesNo
Union CentristeUnion Centriste4%YesNo
$2K Volume 12/10
Lecornu out as French PM by...?Lecornu out as French PM by...?
December 31, 202629%YesNo
September 30, 20262%YesNo
$344.6K Volume 01/01
Union Centriste Seat Count after French Senate Election?Union Centriste Seat Count after French Senate Election?
59-6136%YesNo
56-5829%YesNo
$4K Volume 12/10
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...?Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...?
March 3110%YesNo
December 314%YesNo
$14.9K Volume 01/04
Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate? Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?
90%
chance
Yes No
$7.1K Volume 27/09
Le Pen names non-Bardella PM by...?Le Pen names non-Bardella PM by...?
December 31, 20266%
April 17, 202710%
$2K Volume 17/04
Next President of the National Rally in 2026?Next President of the National Rally in 2026?
Jordan BardellaJordan Bardella95%YesNo
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen1%YesNo
$10.3K Volume 25/10
Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record? Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?
97%
chance
Yes No
$1.1K Volume 01/10
Marine Le Pen out as Member of the National Assembly by...?Marine Le Pen out as Member of the National Assembly by...?
July 311%
October 313%
$3.4K Volume 01/11
Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election? Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?
18%
chance
Yes No
$2K Volume 17/04
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31? Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?
3%
chance
Yes No
$33 Volume 31/12
Will France pass a national budget by December 31? Will France pass a national budget by December 31?
32%
chance
Yes No
$8.1K Volume 31/12
French election called by...?French election called by...?
September 1550%YesNo
October 31, 202550%YesNo
$1.1M Volume 01/01
Load more on Polymarket →

France Markets FAQ

Which France markets exist on Polymarket?

Presidential race, snap elections and dissolution, next Prime Minister, approval ratings and economic decisions. Both binary and multi-outcome contracts.

What moves prices in France markets?

Polls, political statements, parliamentary votes and economic news. Prices react within minutes to major developments.

How are the odds set?

Prices come from real orders in the book, not a house line, so each price reflects the market's live consensus.

Start Polymarket Training For Free
Trade prediction markets with virtual money. Real prices, zero risk. Compete on the leaderboard.
$1K
Virtual Cash
500+
Markets
$0
Real Risk
Learn more
Real prices Zero risk Leaderboard