Polymarket Brazil Prediction Markets
Polymarket markets on Brazil cover the main scenarios: presidential and Congressional elections, the government and its mandate, economic decisions such as the Selic rate and political developments. Prices form in real time from order-book depth.
These markets gain momentum around decisive dates - election nights, Congressional votes and government announcements. Traded volume reflects international interest in Brazilian politics.
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva63%YesNo
Flávio Bolsonaro34%YesNo
Eduardo Paes94%YesNo
Douglas Ruas5%YesNo
Ricardo Ferraço78%YesNo
Lorenzo Pazolini16%YesNo
Eduardo Braga72%YesNo
Capitão Alberto Neto17%YesNo
Ciro Nogueira43%YesNo
Marcelo Castro21%YesNo
Alexandre Guimarães41%YesNo
Gaguim40%YesNo
Professora Dorinha57%YesNo
Vicentinho Júnior40%YesNo
Carlos Jordy48%YesNo
Benedita da Silva48%YesNoFlávio Bolsonaro86%YesNoLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva5%YesNo
Dr. Fernando Máximo38%YesNo
Sílvia Cristina38%YesNoCiro Nogueira48%YesNoMarcelo Castro39%YesNo
Wellington Fagundes54%YesNo
Otaviano Pivetta44%YesNo
Guilherme Derrite46%YesNo
Simone Tebet32%YesNoGuilherme Derrite35%YesNo
Marina Silva32%YesNo
Humberto Costa45%YesNo
Mendonça Filho34%YesNo
Marília Campos48%YesNo
Carlos Viana13%YesNoCarlos Jordy28%YesNo
Pedro Paulo21%YesNo
Carol de Toni45%YesNo
Carlos Bolsonaro39%YesNo
Gustavo Gayer55%YesNo
Vanderlan Cardoso21%YesNo
Deltan Dallagnol40%YesNo
Alexandre Curi24%YesNo
Reinaldo Azambuja74%YesNo
Capitão Contar10%YesNo
Helio Bolsonaro33%YesNo
Chico Rodrigues32%YesNo
Alan Rick65%YesNo
Mailza Assis31%YesNo
Delegado Éder Mauro52%YesNo
Zequinha Marinho21%YesNo
Marília Arraes68%YesNoHumberto Costa27%YesNo
Fabiano Contarato34%YesNo
Sergio Meneguelli29%YesNo
Michelle Bolsonaro65%YesNo
Leila do Vôlei26%YesNo
Eduardo Braide59%YesNo
Orleans Brandão32%YesNoLeila do Vôlei48%YesNo
Bia Kicis24%YesNo
Renan Santos53%YesNo
Ronaldo Caiado39%YesNo
Randolfe46%YesNo
Lucas Barreto45%YesNoSílvia Cristina35%YesNoDr. Fernando Máximo28%YesNoCapitão Contar66%YesNo
Vander Loubet30%YesNo
Filipe Barros36%YesNo
Gleisi26%YesNo
Rogerio Carvalho36%YesNo
Eduardo Amorim19%YesNo
Styvenson Valentim61%YesNo
Zenaide Maia38%YesNo
Flavio Bolsonaro94%YesNo
Lula5%YesNoLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva97%YesNoFlavio Bolsonaro92%YesNo
Fufuca38%YesNo
Roseana Sarney26%YesNo
Mara Rocha40%YesNo
Marcio Bittar34%YesNoFlavio Bolsonaro96%YesNoLula2%YesNo
Delegado André David51%YesNo
André Moura22%YesNo
5.00-5.49%50%YesNo
4.50-4.99%23%YesNo
Marília Campos52%YesNoCarlos Viana34%YesNo
25 bps decrease89%YesNo
No Change10%YesNo
Capitão Wagner44%YesNo
Cid Gomes31%YesNoFlavio Bolsonaro82%YesNo
Ronaldo Caiado14%YesNo
Allyson62%YesNo
Álvaro Dias17%YesNo
Veneziano55%YesNo
Nabor35%YesNo
Sergio Moro75%YesNo
Beto Richa7%YesNo
Lula88%YesNoFlavio Bolsonaro13%YesNoLula95%YesNoFlavio Bolsonaro4%YesNo
Cleitinho Azevedo74%YesNo
Alexandre Kalil8%YesNoFlavio Bolsonaro88%YesNo
Zema13%YesNo
Mauro Mendes72%YesNo
Janaina Riva15%YesNo
Tarcísio de Freitas97%YesNo
Fernando Haddad3%YesNoFlavio Bolsonaro87%YesNoLula8%YesNo
Celina Leão67%YesNo
Arruda24%YesNo
Joao Azevêdo85%YesNoNabor10%YesNo
0.3%–0.5%57%YesNo
0.0%–0.2%22%YesNo
Flavio Bolsonaro60%YesNoRonaldo Caiado37%YesNoLula53%YesNoFlavio Bolsonaro47%YesNoCapitão Alberto Neto47%YesNo
Wilson Lima41%YesNo
Jaques Wagner71%YesNo
Rui Costa9%YesNoLula89%YesNoFlavio Bolsonaro11%YesNo
Renato Casagrande96%YesNoFabiano Contarato2%YesNoRoseana Sarney69%YesNo
Weverton Rocha8%YesNo
Teresa Surita68%YesNoHelio Bolsonaro7%YesNoCarol de Toni40%YesNoCarlos Bolsonaro30%YesNo
Flávio Bolsonaro74%YesNo
Romeu Zema5%YesNo
Marcel Van Hattem35%YesNo
Pimenta28%YesNo
Cid Gomes59%YesNoCapitão Wagner21%YesNoRui Costa72%YesNoJaques Wagner10%YesNo
Lula95%YesNoFlavio Bolsonaro3%YesNo
Omar Aziz68%YesNo
Professora Maria do Carmo25%YesNoFlavio Bolsonaro57%YesNoLula35%YesNo
Gracinha Caiado74%YesNoGustavo Gayer17%YesNo
Eduardo Gomes69%YesNoAlexandre Guimarães18%YesNoFlavio Bolsonaro95%YesNoLula3%YesNo
Rayssa Furlan89%YesNo
Alliny Serrão4%YesNoZenaide Maia49%YesNo
Samanda de Lula27%YesNoFlavio Bolsonaro90%YesNoRonaldo Caiado2%YesNo
PL59%YesNo
UPB41%YesNo
Arthur Lira46%YesNo
Renan30%YesNo
Eduardo Riedel93%YesNo
Economista Renato Gomes1%YesNo
Ciro Gomes65%YesNo
Elmano de Freitas36%YesNoRenan46%YesNoArthur Lira45%YesNo
Janaina Riva49%YesNoMauro Mendes35%YesNo
Raquel Lyra64%YesNoJoão Campos35%YesNo
Manuela D'Ávila45%YesNoMarcel Van Hattem33%YesNoLula96%YesNo
Clariana Barao3%YesNoMarcio Bittar47%YesNo
Gladson Camelí26%YesNoFlavio Bolsonaro81%YesNoLula15%YesNoFlavio Bolsonaro97%YesNoLula1%YesNo
Marcos Rogério79%YesNo
Adailton Furia7%YesNo
JHC66%YesNo
Renan Filho35%YesNoBrazil Markets FAQ
Which Brazil markets exist on Polymarket?
Presidential and Congressional elections, government and mandate, economic decisions such as the Selic rate and political outcomes. Both binary and multi-outcome contracts.
What moves prices in Brazil markets?
Polls, political statements, votes and economic news. Prices react to major developments within minutes.
How are the odds set?
Prices come from real orders in the book, not a house line, so each price reflects the market's live consensus.
