Polymarket Brazil Prediction Markets
Polymarket markets on Brazil cover the main scenarios: presidential and Congressional elections, the government and its mandate, economic decisions such as the Selic rate and political developments. Prices form in real time from order-book depth.
These markets gain momentum around decisive dates - election nights, Congressional votes and government announcements. Traded volume reflects international interest in Brazilian politics.
100 active markets
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva63%YesNo
Flávio Bolsonaro35%YesNoFlávio Bolsonaro89%YesNoLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva7%YesNo
Eduardo Paes95%YesNo
Douglas Ruas5%YesNo
Benedita da Silva66%YesNo
Carlos Jordy29%YesNo
Weverton Rocha34%YesNo
Fufuca29%YesNo
Professora Dorinha61%YesNo
Vicentinho Júnior40%YesNo
Alexandre Guimarães47%YesNo
Gaguim34%YesNo
Guilherme Derrite52%YesNo
Simone Tebet23%YesNo
Eduardo Braga82%YesNo
Capitão Alberto Neto16%YesNo
Sergio Moro78%YesNo
Alexandre Curi7%YesNo
Ciro Nogueira26%YesNo
Marcelo Castro24%YesNo
Marília Arraes57%YesNo
Humberto Costa30%YesNo
Ricardo Ferraço87%YesNo
Lorenzo Pazolini11%YesNo
Eduardo Braide68%YesNo
Orleans Brandão28%YesNoMarcelo Castro49%YesNoCiro Nogueira35%YesNoCarlos Jordy29%YesNo
Pedro Paulo21%YesNo
Chico Rodrigues32%YesNo
Helio Bolsonaro31%YesNo
Marcel Van Hattem38%YesNo
Manuela D'Ávila30%YesNo
Marília Campos48%YesNo
Carlos Viana30%YesNo
Lucas Barreto50%YesNo
Randolfe37%YesNo
Rui Costa72%YesNo
Jaques Wagner19%YesNo
Deltan Dallagnol40%YesNo
Alexandre Curi33%YesNoDeltan Dallagnol38%YesNo
Filipe Barros26%YesNo
Wellington Fagundes55%YesNo
Otaviano Pivetta40%YesNo
Carol de Toni31%YesNo
Esperidião Amin27%YesNo
Marina Silva29%YesNoGuilherme Derrite27%YesNo
Sergio Meneguelli40%YesNo
Fabiano Contarato22%YesNoJaques Wagner66%YesNoRui Costa19%YesNo
Delegado Éder Mauro52%YesNo
Zequinha Marinho22%YesNo
Styvenson Valentim61%YesNo
Zenaide Maia29%YesNo
Gustavo Gayer55%YesNo
Vanderlan Cardoso18%YesNo
Renan Santos54%YesNo
Ronaldo Caiado40%YesNo
Teresa Surita62%YesNoHelio Bolsonaro26%YesNo
Janaina Riva66%YesNo
Mauro Mendes32%YesNo
Rogerio Carvalho30%YesNo
André Moura27%YesNo
Capitão Contar66%YesNo
Vander Loubet29%YesNoHumberto Costa46%YesNo
Mendonça Filho34%YesNo
Dr. Fernando Máximo44%YesNo
Sílvia Cristina38%YesNo
Arthur Lira47%YesNo
Renan41%YesNoCarlos Viana56%YesNoMarília Campos28%YesNo
Gladson Camelí39%YesNo
Marcio Bittar32%YesNoLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva97%YesNoFlavio Bolsonaro92%YesNo
Flavio Bolsonaro94%YesNo
Lula5%YesNo
Celina Leão73%YesNo
Arruda18%YesNoCapitão Alberto Neto47%YesNo
Wilson Lima45%YesNoSílvia Cristina35%YesNoDr. Fernando Máximo14%YesNoLula97%YesNo
Samara1%YesNo
Allyson60%YesNo
Cadu de Lula21%YesNo
Leila do Vôlei48%YesNo
Michelle Bolsonaro25%YesNo
Capitão Wagner44%YesNo
Cid Gomes28%YesNoZenaide Maia40%YesNo
Samanda de Lula33%YesNoLula da Silva 5-10%41%YesNoLula da Silva <5%25%YesNo
Veneziano54%YesNo
Nabor36%YesNo
JHC63%YesNo
Renan Filho37%YesNo
Omar Aziz69%YesNo
Professora Maria do Carmo22%YesNo
Tarcísio de Freitas97%YesNo
Fernando Haddad3%YesNoMichelle Bolsonaro64%YesNoLeila do Vôlei29%YesNo
Lula95%YesNoFlavio Bolsonaro4%YesNoFlavio Bolsonaro87%YesNoLula8%YesNo
Cleitinho Azevedo74%YesNo
Alexandre Kalil14%YesNo
0.3%–0.5%57%YesNo
0.0%–0.2%19%YesNo
Delegado André David51%YesNoAndré Moura23%YesNo
Carlos Bolsonaro35%YesNoCarol de Toni28%YesNo
5.00-5.49%50%YesNo
4.50-4.99%23%YesNo
Flavio Bolsonaro61%YesNo
Ronaldo Caiado36%YesNoFlavio Bolsonaro63%YesNoLula34%YesNoMauro Mendes73%YesNoJanaina Riva16%YesNoMarcio Bittar38%YesNoGladson Camelí26%YesNo
Roseana Sarney74%YesNoWeverton Rocha8%YesNo
Reinaldo Azambuja74%YesNoCapitão Contar9%YesNoMarcel Van Hattem35%YesNo
Pimenta30%YesNo
Alan Rick65%YesNo
Mailza Assis31%YesNo
Joao Azevêdo87%YesNoVeneziano6%YesNo
Renato Casagrande96%YesNoFabiano Contarato2%YesNo
Flávio Bolsonaro73%YesNo
Romeu Zema4%YesNoFlavio Bolsonaro89%YesNo
Zema13%YesNoLula97%YesNoFlavio Bolsonaro1%YesNo
Helder87%YesNo
Gizelle Freitas5%YesNoLula95%YesNoFlavio Bolsonaro3%YesNo
Ciro Gomes65%YesNo
Elmano de Freitas37%YesNo
Eduardo Gomes69%YesNoAlexandre Guimarães18%YesNo
Gracinha Caiado74%YesNoGustavo Gayer17%YesNo
25 bps decrease89%YesNo
No Change10%YesNo
Flavio Bolsonaro90%YesNoLula3%YesNoRenan49%YesNoArthur Lira45%YesNo
Rayssa Furlan89%YesNo
Alliny Serrão4%YesNoLula96%YesNoFlavio Bolsonaro1%YesNo
Jorginho Mello96%YesNo
João Rodrigues3%YesNo
Lucas Ribeiro69%YesNo
Cícero Lucena25%YesNoFlavio Bolsonaro96%YesNoLula2%YesNo
Eduardo Riedel92%YesNo
Economista Renato Gomes1%YesNoLula96%YesNo
Clariana Barao3%YesNo
Flavio Bolsonaro82%YesNoLula15%YesNo
No Change60%YesNo
25 bps decrease34%YesNo
Brazil Markets FAQ
Which Brazil markets exist on Polymarket?
Presidential and Congressional elections, government and mandate, economic decisions such as the Selic rate and political outcomes. Both binary and multi-outcome contracts.
What moves prices in Brazil markets?
Polls, political statements, votes and economic news. Prices react to major developments within minutes.
How are the odds set?
Prices come from real orders in the book, not a house line, so each price reflects the market's live consensus.
